Ekstraklasa24°16 km/h

    Läs på svenska
    Wisła PłockWisła Płock
    vs
    Lech PoznańLech Poznań
    The model's lean: 2 · Lech Poznań (59%)

    Wisła PłockLech Poznań · Ekstraklasa

    1 · Wisła Płock 19%X 22%59% Lech Poznań · 2

    Match prediction: Wisła PłockLech Poznań

    Predicted score matrix

    Lech Poznań
    Wisła Płock
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–06.4%
    0–110.7%
    0–29.8%
    0–35.9%
    0–4+3.9%
    1
    1–05.8%
    1–111.3%
    1–29.8%
    1–35.9%
    1–4+4.0%
    2
    2–03.1%
    2–15.5%
    2–24.9%
    2–32.9%
    2–4+2.0%
    3
    3–01.0%
    3–11.8%
    3–21.6%
    3–31.0%
    3–4+0.7%
    4+
    4+–00.3%
    4+–10.6%
    4+–20.5%
    4+–30.3%
    4+–4+0.2%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.0-111%
    3. 3.1-210%
    4. 4.0-210%
    5. 5.0-06%
    Expected goals
    1,001,79
    Both teams to score
    53%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,8
    Under 2,547%
    Over 2,553%

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Lech Poznań to win59%
    • Over 1.5 goals77%

    Combined probability

    45%

    Fair odds

    2.23

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Lech Poznań to win59%
    • Over 2.5 goals53%

    Combined probability

    35%

    Fair odds

    2.85

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score53%
    • Over 2.5 goals53%

    Combined probability

    42%

    Fair odds

    2.39

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Wisła Płock vs Lech Poznań according to our model?

    The model gives Lech Poznań a 59% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Wisła Płock 19%, draw 22%, Lech Poznań 59%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and under at 47%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.