Ekstraklasa26°9 km/h

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    Zagłębie LubinZagłębie Lubin
    21
    Slask WroclawSlask Wroclaw
    The model's lean: 2 · Slask Wroclaw (35%)

    Zagłębie LubinSlask Wroclaw · Ekstraklasa

    1 · Zagłębie Lubin 34%X 31%35% Slask Wroclaw · 2
    Final score
    21
    The model missed the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Zagłębie Lubin 34% · Draw 31% · Slask Wroclaw 35%

    Match prediction: Zagłębie LubinSlask Wroclaw

    Predicted score matrix

    Slask Wroclaw
    Zagłębie Lubin
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–06.7%
    0–18.5%
    0–26.2%
    0–32.9%
    0–4+1.4%
    1
    1–08.3%
    1–112.4%
    1–28.4%
    1–33.9%
    1–4+1.9%
    2
    2–05.8%
    2–18.2%
    2–25.7%
    2–32.7%
    2–4+1.3%
    3
    3–02.6%
    3–13.7%
    3–22.6%
    3–31.2%
    3–4+0.6%
    4+
    4+–01.2%
    4+–11.7%
    4+–21.2%
    4+–30.6%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-112%
    2. 2.0-19%
    3. 3.1-28%
    4. 4.1-08%
    5. 5.2-18%
    Expected goals
    1,361,40
    Both teams to score
    56%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,8
    Under 2,548%
    @1.81
    Over 2,552%
    @2.07EV+8%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Slask Wroclaw or draw (X2)64%
    • Over 1.5 goals77%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.05

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Slask Wroclaw or draw (X2)64%
    • Over 2.5 goals52%

    Combined probability

    30%

    Fair odds

    3.30

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score56%
    • Over 2.5 goals52%

    Combined probability

    44%

    Fair odds

    2.28

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Slask Wroclaw35% probability@3.64PinnacleEV+27%
    • Over 2.552% probability@2.07PinnacleEV+8%
    Bookmaker1 · Zagłębie LubinX2 · Slask Wroclaw
    Pinnacle2.313.02
    EV+ 27%
    3.64

    Odds updated 15 Aug, 10:14

    Odds movement

    1+1 %
    45 %40 %

    2.292.31

    X+9 %
    35 %30 %

    2.763.02

    2-5 %
    28 %23 %

    3.823.64

    Over 2,5-2 %
    48 %43 %

    2.122.07

    Pinnacle · 14 recorded price levels · 12/08/2026 → 15/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Zagłębie Lubin vs Slask Wroclaw according to our model?

    The model gives Slask Wroclaw a 35% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Zagłębie Lubin 34%, draw 31%, Slask Wroclaw 35%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 52% and under at 48%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.