Čukarički vs Radnički 1923: Prediction & Odds (1 Aug 2026)

Serbian Super League1 August 2026Stadion Čukarički, Belgrad31°18 km/h

Läs på svenska

Čukarički

3–0

Radnički 1923

The model's lean: 2 · Radnički 1923 (38%)Best value by the model: Over 4,5 @ 9.20 (+18 %)

1 · Čukarički 32%X 30%38% Radnički 1923 · 2

32%

30%

38%

Final score

3 – 0

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Čukarički 32% · Draw 30% · Radnički 1923 38%

Match prediction: Čukarički – Radnički 1923

Predicted score matrix

Radnički 1923 →

Čukarički →

0–07.5%

0–19.7%

0–27.0%

0–33.3%

0–4+1.6%

1–08.5%

1–112.7%

1–28.7%

1–34.0%

1–4+1.9%

2–05.5%

2–17.7%

2–25.4%

2–32.5%

2–4+1.2%

3–02.3%

3–13.2%

3–22.2%

3–31.0%

3–4+0.5%

4+–00.9%

4+–11.3%

4+–20.9%

4+–30.4%

4+–4+0.2%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-113%
2.0-110%
3.1-29%
4.1-09%
5.2-18%

Expected goals

1,24–1,40

Both teams to score

54%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,6

07%

118%

225%

322%

414%

5+13%

Under 2,551%

@1.78

Over 2,549%

@2.22EV+1%

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Radnički 1923 or draw (X2)67%
Under 3.5 goals73%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance Radnički 1923 or draw (X2)67%
Under 2.5 goals51%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score54%
Over 2.5 goals49%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

Over 4.513% probability@9.20Betfair ExchangeEV+18%reference odds
2 · Radnički 192338% probability@3.10Betfair ExchangeEV+18%reference odds
Over 3.527% probability@4.10Betfair ExchangeEV+12%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Čukarički	X	2 · Radnički 1923
Bet365	2.35	3.25	EV+ 9% 2.88
Betfair Exchange	2.54	3.30	EV+ 18% 3.10

Odds updated 1 Aug, 10:08

Odds movement

Market signal

The market has moved clearly towards a Čukarički win since 30 July — the odds have shortened from 1.53 to 2.54 (−66%).

1+66 %

47 %27 %

1.53 → 2.54

X+116 %

43 %23 %

1.53 → 3.30

2+198 %

43 %23 %

1.04 → 3.10

Over 2,5+118 %

52 %32 %

1.02 → 2.22

Betfair Exchange · 20 recorded price levels · 30/07/2026 → 01/08/2026 · fixed scale 20 percentage points

Teams & more matches this round

Čukarički

Fixtures, form & tips

Radnički 1923

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Čukarički vs Radnički 1923 according to our model?

The model gives Radnički 1923 a 38% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Čukarički 32%, draw 30%, Radnički 1923 38%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 49% and under at 51%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 54% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.