Swedish AllsvenskanStrawberry arena, Solna18°21 km/h

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    AIKAIK
    0–3
    The model's lean: 1 · AIK (59%)
    Best value by the model: 2 · Örgryte @ 7.00 (+40 %)
    ÖrgryteÖrgryte

    AIK – Örgryte · Swedish Allsvenskan

    1 · AIK 59%X 21%20% Örgryte · 2
    Final score
    0 – 3
    The model missed the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: AIK 59% · Draw 21% · Örgryte 20%

    Match prediction: AIK – Örgryte

    Predicted score matrix

    Örgryte →
    AIK →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.8%
    0–14.4%
    0–22.4%
    0–30.8%
    0–4+0.3%
    1
    1–09.1%
    1–19.9%
    1–24.9%
    1–31.7%
    1–4+0.5%
    2
    2–09.8%
    2–19.9%
    2–25.1%
    2–31.7%
    2–4+0.5%
    3
    3–06.7%
    3–16.9%
    3–23.5%
    3–31.2%
    3–4+0.4%
    4+
    4+–05.6%
    4+–15.7%
    4+–22.9%
    4+–31.0%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.2-110%
    2. 2.1-110%
    3. 3.2-010%
    4. 4.1-09%
    5. 5.3-17%
    Expected goals
    2,07–1,02
    Both teams to score
    56%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,1
    Under 2,540%
    @2.24
    Over 2,560%
    @1.68EV+0%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • AIK to win59%
    • Over 1.5 goals82%

    Combined probability

    52%

    Fair odds

    1.92

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • AIK to win59%
    • Over 2.5 goals60%

    Combined probability

    42%

    Fair odds

    2.36

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score56%
    • Over 2.5 goals60%

    Combined probability

    46%

    Fair odds

    2.16

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Örgryte20% probability@7.00Betfair ExchangeEV+40%
    • 2 · Örgryte20% probability@5.30PinnacleEV+6%
    • X · Draw21% probability@5.10Betfair ExchangeEV+6%
    Bookmaker1 · AIKX2 · Örgryte
    Betfair Exchange1.41
    EV+ 6%
    5.10
    EV+ 40%
    7.00
    Pinnacle1.574.50
    EV+ 6%
    5.30

    Odds updated 2 Aug, 15:52

    Odds movement

    1+7 %
    68 %58 %

    1.47 → 1.57

    X-8 %
    25 %15 %

    4.88 → 4.50

    2-5 %
    22 %12 %

    5.60 → 5.30

    Pinnacle · 17 recorded price levels · 28/07/2026 → 02/08/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins AIK vs Örgryte according to our model?

    The model gives AIK a 59% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: AIK 59%, draw 21%, Örgryte 20%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and under at 40%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.