Swedish AllsvenskanRambergsvallen, Göteborg17°33 km/h

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    HäckenHäcken
    0–0
    The model's lean: 1 · Häcken (51%)
    Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 4.12 (+12 %)
    AIKAIK

    Häcken – AIK · Swedish Allsvenskan

    1 · Häcken 51%X 27%22% AIK · 2
    Final score
    0 – 0
    The model missed the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Häcken 51% · Draw 27% · AIK 22%

    Match prediction: Häcken – AIK

    Predicted score matrix

    AIK →
    Häcken →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.1%
    0–15.3%
    0–23.2%
    0–31.2%
    0–4+0.5%
    1
    1–08.7%
    1–110.7%
    1–26.0%
    1–32.3%
    1–4+0.9%
    2
    2–08.5%
    2–19.8%
    2–25.7%
    2–32.2%
    2–4+0.8%
    3
    3–05.3%
    3–16.2%
    3–23.6%
    3–31.4%
    3–4+0.5%
    4+
    4+–03.9%
    4+–14.5%
    4+–22.6%
    4+–31.0%
    4+–4+0.4%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.1-09%
    4. 4.2-08%
    5. 5.3-16%
    Expected goals
    1,88–1,15
    Both teams to score
    58%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,541%
    @2.50EV+4%
    Over 2,559%
    @1.50

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Häcken to win51%
    • Over 1.5 goals81%

    Combined probability

    45%

    Fair odds

    2.21

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Häcken to win51%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%

    Combined probability

    37%

    Fair odds

    2.72

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score58%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%

    Combined probability

    48%

    Fair odds

    2.10

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • X · Draw27% probability@4.12PinnacleEV+12%
    • Both teams to score: No42% probability@2.63Bet365EV+9%
    • X · Draw27% probability@4.00Bet365EV+8%
    Bookmaker1 · HäckenX2 · AIK
    Bet3651.70
    EV+ 8%
    4.00    		4.20
    Pinnacle1.95
    EV+ 12%
    4.12    		3.51

    Odds updated 27 Jul, 18:08

    Odds movement

    1+5 %
    53 %48 %

    1.86 → 1.95

    X0 %
    25 %20 %

    4.12 → 4.12

    2-2 %
    29 %24 %

    3.59 → 3.51

    Pinnacle · 16 recorded price levels · 20/07/2026 → 27/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Häcken vs AIK according to our model?

    The model gives Häcken a 51% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Häcken 51%, draw 27%, AIK 22%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.