Häcken vs Kalmar FF: Prediction & Odds (1 Aug 2026)

Swedish Allsvenskan1 August 2026 15:00 CESTRambergsvallen, Göteborg18°18 km/h

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Häcken

1–1

The model's lean: 1 · Häcken (51%)

Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 4.30 (+9 %)

Kalmar FF

1 · Häcken 51%X 25%24% Kalmar FF · 2

51%

25%

24%

Final score

1 – 1

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Häcken 51% · Draw 25% · Kalmar FF 24%

Match prediction: Häcken – Kalmar FF

Predicted score matrix

Kalmar FF →

Häcken →

0–05.3%

0–15.6%

0–23.5%

0–31.4%

0–4+0.5%

1–08.8%

1–111.0%

1–26.3%

1–32.5%

1–4+0.9%

2–08.2%

2–19.7%

2–25.7%

2–32.3%

2–4+0.9%

3–05.0%

3–15.9%

3–23.5%

3–31.4%

3–4+0.5%

4+–03.4%

4+–14.1%

4+–22.4%

4+–30.9%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.2-110%
3.1-09%
4.2-08%
5.1-26%

Expected goals

1,82–1,18

Both teams to score

58%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,0

114%

223%

322%

417%

5+18%

Under 2,542%

@2.55EV+8%

Over 2,558%

@1.45

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Häcken to win51%
Over 1.5 goals80%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Häcken to win51%
Over 2.5 goals58%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score58%
Over 2.5 goals58%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

X · Draw25% probability@4.30Betfair ExchangeEV+9%
2 · Kalmar FF24% probability@4.60Betfair ExchangeEV+8%
Under 2.542% probability@2.55Paddy PowerEV+8%

Bookmaker	1 · Häcken	X	2 · Kalmar FF
Betfair Exchange	1.66	EV+ 9% 4.30	EV+ 8% 4.60
Paddy Power	1.57	EV+ 7% 4.20	EV+ 4% 4.40
Pinnacle	1.80	EV+ 4% 4.10	4.05

Odds updated 1 Aug, 12:08

Odds movement

1-1 %

56 %51 %

1.81 → 1.80

X+4 %

26 %21 %

3.94 → 4.10

2+3 %

25 %20 %

3.95 → 4.05

Pinnacle · 12 recorded price levels · 28/07/2026 → 01/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Häcken vs Kalmar FF according to our model?

The model gives Häcken a 51% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Häcken 51%, draw 25%, Kalmar FF 24%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.