01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Djurgården to win55%
- Over 1.5 goals83%
Swedish AllsvenskanStora Valla, Örebro16°1,2 mm17 km/h
Läs på svenska
Degerfors0–1
The model's lean: 2 · Djurgården (55%)
Best value by the model: Over 2,5 @ 1.83 (+12 %)
DjurgårdenDegerfors – Djurgården · Swedish Allsvenskan
1 · Degerfors 20%X 25%55% Djurgården · 2
20%
25%
55%
Final score
0 – 1
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Degerfors 20% · Draw 25% · Djurgården 55%
Match prediction: Degerfors – Djurgården
Predicted score matrix
Djurgården →
Degerfors →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–04.5%
0–18.0%
0–28.1%
0–35.3%
0–4+4.0%
1
1–04.9%
1–110.3%
1–29.8%
1–36.3%
1–4+4.8%
2
2–03.1%
2–16.0%
2–25.9%
2–33.8%
2–4+2.9%
3
3–01.2%
3–12.4%
3–22.4%
3–31.5%
3–4+1.2%
4+
4+–00.5%
4+–11.0%
4+–20.9%
4+–30.6%
4+–4+0.5%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-110%
- 2.1-210%
- 3.0-28%
- 4.0-18%
- 5.1-36%
Expected goals
1,21–1,95
Both teams to score
60%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,20
113%
221%
322%
418%
5+21%
Under 2,539%
@2.15
Over 2,561%
@1.83EV+2%
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Djurgården to win55%
- Over 2.5 goals61%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score60%
- Over 2.5 goals61%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Over 2.561% probability@1.83PinnacleEV+12%
- Over 4.521% probability@5.00Bet365EV+6%
- Over 2.561% probability@1.67Bet365EV+2%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Degerfors | X | 2 · Djurgården |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.67 |
| Pinnacle | EV+ 1% 4.99 | 4.00 | 1.69 |
Odds updated 25 Jul, 14:08
Odds movement
1+16 %
25 %15 %
4.32 → 4.99
X+2 %
29 %19 %
3.91 → 4.00
2-3 %
61 %51 %
1.75 → 1.69
Over 2,5+7 %
60 %50 %
1.72 → 1.83
Pinnacle · 19 recorded price levels · 21/07/2026 → 25/07/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Degerfors vs Djurgården according to our model?
The model gives Djurgården a 55% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Degerfors 20%, draw 25%, Djurgården 55%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 61% and under at 39%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.