Swedish Allsvenskan3Arena, Stockholm19°16 km/h

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    DjurgårdenDjurgården
    6–0
    The model's lean: 1 · Djurgården (60%)
    Best value by the model: 2 · Västerås SK @ 6.20 (+22 %)
    Västerås SKVästerås SK

    Djurgården – Västerås SK · Swedish Allsvenskan

    1 · Djurgården 60%X 20%20% Västerås SK · 2
    Final score
    6 – 0
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Djurgården 60% · Draw 20% · Västerås SK 20%

    Match prediction: Djurgården – Västerås SK

    Predicted score matrix

    Västerås SK →
    Djurgården →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.0%
    0–14.3%
    0–22.8%
    0–31.1%
    0–4+0.5%
    1
    1–07.4%
    1–19.7%
    1–25.7%
    1–32.3%
    1–4+0.9%
    2
    2–08.0%
    2–19.7%
    2–26.0%
    2–32.4%
    2–4+1.0%
    3
    3–05.5%
    3–16.7%
    3–24.1%
    3–31.7%
    3–4+0.7%
    4+
    4+–04.6%
    4+–15.6%
    4+–23.4%
    4+–31.4%
    4+–4+0.6%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.2-110%
    2. 2.1-110%
    3. 3.2-08%
    4. 4.1-07%
    5. 5.3-17%
    Expected goals
    2,07–1,22
    Both teams to score
    62%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,3
    Under 2,536%
    @2.94EV+6%
    Over 2,564%
    @1.50

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Djurgården to win60%
    • Over 1.5 goals84%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.04

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Djurgården to win60%
    • Over 2.5 goals64%

    Combined probability

    41%

    Fair odds

    2.43

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score62%
    • Over 2.5 goals64%

    Combined probability

    52%

    Fair odds

    1.91

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Västerås SK20% probability@6.20Betfair ExchangeEV+22%
    • 2 · Västerås SK20% probability@5.73PinnacleEV+13%
    • Under 0.54% probability@28.00Betfair ExchangeEV+11%
    Bookmaker1 · DjurgårdenX2 · Västerås SK
    Betfair Exchange1.574.80
    EV+ 22%
    6.20
    Pinnacle1.494.95
    EV+ 13%
    5.73

    Odds updated 3 Aug, 18:08

    Odds movement

    1+2 %
    67 %62 %

    1.47 → 1.49

    X+2 %
    22 %17 %

    4.84 → 4.95

    20 %
    19 %14 %

    5.71 → 5.73

    Pinnacle · 15 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 03/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Djurgården vs Västerås SK according to our model?

    The model gives Djurgården a 60% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Djurgården 60%, draw 20%, Västerås SK 20%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 64% and under at 36%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.