GAIS vs Halmstad: Prediction & Odds (26 Jul 2026)

Swedish Allsvenskan26 July 2026 16:30 CESTGamla Ullevi, Göteborg17°2,8 mm25 km/h

Läs på svenska

GAIS

1–1

The model's lean: 1 · GAIS (70%)

Best value by the model: Over 4,5 @ 5.50 (+36 %)

Halmstad

1 · GAIS 70%X 18%13% Halmstad · 2

70%

18%

13%

Final score

1 – 1

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: GAIS 70% · Draw 18% · Halmstad 13%

Match prediction: GAIS – Halmstad

Predicted score matrix

Halmstad →

GAIS →

0–03.7%

0–13.5%

0–22.0%

0–30.7%

0–4+0.2%

1–07.7%

1–18.7%

1–24.5%

1–31.6%

1–4+0.5%

2–09.1%

2–19.7%

2–25.2%

2–31.8%

2–4+0.6%

3–07.0%

3–17.4%

3–24.0%

3–31.4%

3–4+0.5%

4+–06.9%

4+–17.3%

4+–23.9%

4+–31.4%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.2-110%
2.2-09%
3.1-19%
4.1-08%
5.3-17%

Expected goals

2,29–1,07

Both teams to score

59%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,4

111%

220%

322%

418%

5+25%

Under 2,535%

@2.34

Over 2,565%

@1.74EV+5%

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

GAIS to win70%
Over 1.5 goals85%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

GAIS to win70%
Over 2.5 goals65%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score59%
Over 2.5 goals65%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

Over 4.525% probability@5.50Betfair ExchangeEV+36%
Over 3.543% probability@2.86Betfair ExchangeEV+24%
Both teams to score: Yes59% probability@2.00Bet365EV+18%

Bookmaker	1 · GAIS	X	2 · Halmstad
Bet365	1.30	5.00	EV+ 6% 8.50
Betfair Exchange	EV+ 10% 1.57	4.70	6.20
Pinnacle	EV+ 8% 1.54	4.54	5.74

Odds updated 26 Jul, 15:52

Odds movement

Market signal

The market has moved clearly towards an Halmstad win since 20 July — the odds have shortened from 8.08 to 5.74 (−29%).

1+15 %

71 %61 %

1.33 → 1.54

X-13 %

24 %14 %

5.24 → 4.54

2-29 %

19 %9 %

8.08 → 5.74

Pinnacle · 13 recorded price levels · 20/07/2026 → 26/07/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins GAIS vs Halmstad according to our model?

The model gives GAIS a 70% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: GAIS 70%, draw 18%, Halmstad 13%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 65% and under at 35%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 59% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.