Swedish AllsvenskanÖrjans vall, Halmstad18°18 km/h

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    HalmstadHalmstad
    vs
    The model's lean: 2 · GAIS (59%)
    Best value by the model: 1 · Halmstad @ 5.27 (+11 %)
    GAISGAIS

    HalmstadGAIS · Swedish Allsvenskan

    1 · Halmstad 21%X 20%59% GAIS · 2

    Match prediction: HalmstadGAIS

    Predicted score matrix

    GAIS
    Halmstad
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.4%
    0–19.2%
    0–28.8%
    0–35.4%
    0–4+3.8%
    1
    1–05.4%
    1–110.9%
    1–29.8%
    1–36.1%
    1–4+4.3%
    2
    2–03.2%
    2–15.9%
    2–25.5%
    2–33.4%
    2–4+2.4%
    3
    3–01.2%
    3–12.2%
    3–22.1%
    3–31.3%
    3–4+0.9%
    4+
    4+–00.4%
    4+–10.8%
    4+–20.7%
    4+–30.5%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.1-210%
    3. 3.0-19%
    4. 4.0-29%
    5. 5.1-36%
    Expected goals
    1,121,85
    Both teams to score
    57%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,543%
    @2.16
    Over 2,557%
    @1.75

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • GAIS to win59%
    • Over 1.5 goals80%

    Combined probability

    45%

    Fair odds

    2.23

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • GAIS to win59%
    • Over 2.5 goals57%

    Combined probability

    36%

    Fair odds

    2.77

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score57%
    • Over 2.5 goals57%

    Combined probability

    46%

    Fair odds

    2.17

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 1 · Halmstad21% probability@5.27PinnacleEV+11%
    • Over 3.535% probability@3.00Paddy PowerEV+4%
    • 2 · GAIS59% probability@1.76Betfair ExchangeEV+3%
    Bookmaker1 · HalmstadX2 · GAIS
    Betfair Exchange4.603.85
    EV+ 3%
    1.76
    Paddy Power4.403.601.67
    Pinnacle
    EV+ 11%
    5.27
    3.951.61

    Odds updated 5 Aug, 04:54

    Odds movement

    1+2 %
    20 %15 %

    5.175.27

    X+1 %
    26 %21 %

    3.933.95

    2-1 %
    61 %56 %

    1.621.61

    Over 2,50 %
    59 %54 %

    1.681.69

    Pinnacle · 3 recorded price levels · 04/08/2026 → 05/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Halmstad vs GAIS according to our model?

    The model gives GAIS a 59% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Halmstad 21%, draw 20%, GAIS 59%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and under at 43%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.