01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Sirius to win68%
- Over 1.5 goals88%
Swedish AllsvenskanÖrjans vall, Halmstad19°10 km/h
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Halmstad0–2
The model's lean: 2 · Sirius (68%)
Best value by the model: Over 3,5 @ 2.22 (+8 %)
SiriusHalmstad – Sirius · Swedish Allsvenskan
1 · Halmstad 13%X 19%68% Sirius · 2
13%
19%
68%
Final score
0 – 2
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Halmstad 13% · Draw 19% · Sirius 68%
Match prediction: Halmstad – Sirius
Predicted score matrix
Sirius →
Halmstad →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–02.9%
0–16.4%
0–28.2%
0–36.7%
0–4+7.5%
1
1–02.9%
1–17.8%
1–29.4%
1–37.7%
1–4+8.6%
2
2–01.8%
2–14.4%
2–25.4%
2–34.4%
2–4+4.9%
3
3–00.7%
3–11.7%
3–22.1%
3–31.7%
3–4+1.9%
4+
4+–00.2%
4+–10.6%
4+–20.8%
4+–30.6%
4+–4+0.7%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-29%
- 2.0-28%
- 3.1-18%
- 4.1-38%
- 5.0-37%
Expected goals
1,15–2,47
Both teams to score
63%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,60
19%
218%
321%
419%
5+30%
Under 2,530%
–
Over 2,570%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Sirius to win68%
- Over 2.5 goals70%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score63%
- Over 2.5 goals70%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Over 3.549% probability@2.22PinnacleEV+8%
- 1 · Halmstad13% probability@7.74PinnacleEV+3%
- X · Draw19% probability@5.48PinnacleEV+2%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Halmstad | X | 2 · Sirius |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | EV+ 3% 7.74 | EV+ 2% 5.48 | 1.36 |
Odds updated 3 Aug, 15:53
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards an Sirius win since 27 July — the odds have shortened from 1.46 to 1.36 (−7%).
1+28 %
19 %9 %
6.04 → 7.74
X+17 %
24 %14 %
4.70 → 5.48
2-7 %
72 %62 %
1.46 → 1.36
Pinnacle · 18 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 03/08/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Halmstad vs Sirius according to our model?
The model gives Sirius a 68% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Halmstad 13%, draw 19%, Sirius 68%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-2 at 9% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 70% and under at 30%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 63% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.