Swedish Allsvenskan3Arena, Stockholm18°16 km/h

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    HammarbyHammarby
    vs
    The model's lean: 1 · Hammarby (61%)
    Best value by the model: Under 3,5 @ 1.86 (+10 %)
    HäckenHäcken

    Hammarby – Häcken · Swedish Allsvenskan

    1 · Hammarby 61%X 21%18% Häcken · 2

    Match prediction: Hammarby – Häcken

    Predicted score matrix

    Häcken →
    Hammarby →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.1%
    0–14.3%
    0–22.6%
    0–31.0%
    0–4+0.4%
    1
    1–07.8%
    1–19.7%
    1–25.5%
    1–32.2%
    1–4+0.8%
    2
    2–08.4%
    2–19.8%
    2–25.8%
    2–32.2%
    2–4+0.9%
    3
    3–05.8%
    3–16.8%
    3–24.0%
    3–31.6%
    3–4+0.6%
    4+
    4+–04.9%
    4+–15.8%
    4+–23.4%
    4+–31.3%
    4+–4+0.5%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.2-110%
    2. 2.1-110%
    3. 3.2-08%
    4. 4.1-08%
    5. 5.3-17%
    Expected goals
    2,09–1,17
    Both teams to score
    61%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,3
    Under 2,537%
    –
    Over 2,563%
    –

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Hammarby to win61%
    • Over 1.5 goals84%

    Combined probability

    50%

    Fair odds

    1.99

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Hammarby to win61%
    • Over 2.5 goals63%

    Combined probability

    42%

    Fair odds

    2.39

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score61%
    • Over 2.5 goals63%

    Combined probability

    51%

    Fair odds

    1.96

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • Under 3.559% probability@1.86PinnacleEV+10%
    Bookmaker1 · HammarbyX2 · Häcken
    Pinnacle1.514.805.08

    Odds updated 5 Aug, 04:54

    Odds movement

    10 %
    65 %60 %

    1.52 → 1.51

    X+1 %
    22 %17 %

    4.77 → 4.80

    20 %
    21 %16 %

    5.06 → 5.08

    Pinnacle · 4 recorded price levels · 02/08/2026 → 05/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Hammarby vs Häcken according to our model?

    The model gives Hammarby a 61% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Hammarby 61%, draw 21%, Häcken 18%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 63% and under at 37%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.