Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby: Prediction & Odds (26 Jul 2026)

Swedish Allsvenskan26 July 2026 14:00 CESTGrimsta IP, Stockholm19°1,1 mm21 km/h

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Brommapojkarna

1–1

The model's lean: 2 · Hammarby (61%)

Best value by the model: 1 · Brommapojkarna @ 7.60 (+41 %)

Hammarby

1 · Brommapojkarna 19%X 21%61% Hammarby · 2

19%

21%

61%

Final score

1 – 1

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Brommapojkarna 19% · Draw 21% · Hammarby 61%

Match prediction: Brommapojkarna – Hammarby

Predicted score matrix

Hammarby →

Brommapojkarna →

0–03.7%

0–17.4%

0–28.4%

0–36.2%

0–4+5.6%

1–03.8%

1–19.1%

1–29.8%

1–37.1%

1–4+6.6%

2–02.3%

2–15.2%

2–25.7%

2–34.1%

2–4+3.8%

3–00.9%

3–12.0%

3–22.2%

3–31.6%

3–4+1.5%

4+–00.3%

4+–10.7%

4+–20.8%

4+–30.6%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-210%
2.1-19%
3.0-28%
4.0-17%
5.1-37%

Expected goals

1,16–2,20

Both teams to score

61%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,4

111%

220%

322%

418%

5+25%

Under 2,535%

@2.58

Over 2,565%

@1.60EV+4%

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Hammarby to win61%
Over 1.5 goals85%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Hammarby to win61%
Over 2.5 goals65%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score61%
Over 2.5 goals65%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Brommapojkarna19% probability@7.60Betfair ExchangeEV+41%
1 · Brommapojkarna19% probability@6.31PinnacleEV+17%
Over 4.525% probability@4.70Betfair ExchangeEV+17%

Bookmaker	1 · Brommapojkarna	X	2 · Hammarby
Bet365	5.25	4.20	1.50
Betfair Exchange	EV+ 41% 7.60	EV+ 11% 5.40	1.44
Pinnacle	EV+ 17% 6.31	EV+ 5% 5.08	1.45

Odds updated 26 Jul, 12:08

Odds movement

Market signal

The market has moved clearly towards an Hammarby win since 20 July — the odds have shortened from 1.50 to 1.45 (−3%).

1+13 %

19 %14 %

5.57 → 6.31

X+10 %

22 %17 %

4.61 → 5.08

2-3 %

67 %62 %

1.50 → 1.45

Pinnacle · 13 recorded price levels · 20/07/2026 → 26/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Brommapojkarna vs Hammarby according to our model?

The model gives Hammarby a 61% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Brommapojkarna 19%, draw 21%, Hammarby 61%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-2 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 65% and under at 35%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.