Swedish AllsvenskanGrimsta IP, Stockholm18°19 km/h

    Läs på svenska
    BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna
    1–2
    The model's lean: 2 · Malmö FF (48%)
    Malmö FFMalmö FF

    Brommapojkarna – Malmö FF · Swedish Allsvenskan

    1 · Brommapojkarna 28%X 24%48% Malmö FF · 2
    Final score
    1 – 2
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Brommapojkarna 28% · Draw 24% · Malmö FF 48%

    Match prediction: Brommapojkarna – Malmö FF

    Predicted score matrix

    Malmö FF →
    Brommapojkarna →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.3%
    0–18.0%
    0–26.9%
    0–33.8%
    0–4+2.3%
    1
    1–06.4%
    1–111.4%
    1–29.2%
    1–35.1%
    1–4+3.1%
    2
    2–04.5%
    2–17.4%
    2–26.1%
    2–33.4%
    2–4+2.0%
    3
    3–02.0%
    3–13.3%
    3–22.7%
    3–31.5%
    3–4+0.9%
    4+
    4+–00.9%
    4+–11.5%
    4+–21.2%
    4+–30.7%
    4+–4+0.4%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.1-29%
    3. 3.0-18%
    4. 4.2-17%
    5. 5.0-27%
    Expected goals
    1,34–1,66
    Both teams to score
    60%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,542%
    –
    Over 2,558%
    –

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Malmö FF to win48%
    • Over 1.5 goals80%

    Combined probability

    37%

    Fair odds

    2.73

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Malmö FF to win48%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    30%

    Fair odds

    3.36

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score60%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.06

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Malmö FF48% probability@2.12PinnacleEV+2%
    Bookmaker1 · BrommapojkarnaX2 · Malmö FF
    Pinnacle3.243.77
    EV+ 2%
    2.12

    Odds updated 2 Aug, 12:08

    Odds movement

    1+7 %
    32 %27 %

    3.04 → 3.24

    X+8 %
    29 %24 %

    3.50 → 3.77

    2-4 %
    46 %41 %

    2.21 → 2.12

    Pinnacle · 13 recorded price levels · 26/07/2026 → 02/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Brommapojkarna vs Malmö FF according to our model?

    The model gives Malmö FF a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Brommapojkarna 28%, draw 24%, Malmö FF 48%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    ElfsborgElfsborg
    1–3
    SiriusSirius
    1 23%X 24%2 53%
    The model called the outcome
    HalmstadHalmstad
    0–2
    HäckenHäcken
    1 19%X 22%2 59%
    The model called the outcome
    HammarbyHammarby
    4–0
    DegerforsDegerfors
    1 72%X 16%2 12%
    The model called the outcome

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.