01 · 2 legs
Safe
- IFK Göteborg to win50%
- Over 1.5 goals79%
Swedish AllsvenskanGamla Ullevi, Göteborg18°22 km/h
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IFK Göteborg2–0
The model's lean: 1 · IFK Göteborg (50%)
Best value by the model: 2 · Degerfors @ 4.54 (+15 %)
DegerforsIFK Göteborg – Degerfors · Swedish Allsvenskan
1 · IFK Göteborg 50%X 25%25% Degerfors · 2
50%
25%
25%
Final score
2 – 0
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: IFK Göteborg 50% · Draw 25% · Degerfors 25%
Match prediction: IFK Göteborg – Degerfors
Predicted score matrix
Degerfors →
IFK Göteborg →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.7%
0–16.1%
0–23.8%
0–31.5%
0–4+0.6%
1
1–09.1%
1–111.4%
1–26.5%
1–32.6%
1–4+1.0%
2
2–08.2%
2–19.6%
2–25.7%
2–32.2%
2–4+0.9%
3
3–04.7%
3–15.6%
3–23.3%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.5%
4+
4+–03.0%
4+–13.6%
4+–22.1%
4+–30.8%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.2-110%
- 3.1-09%
- 4.2-08%
- 5.1-27%
Expected goals
1,74–1,18
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
115%
223%
322%
416%
5+17%
Under 2,544%
@2.00
Over 2,556%
@1.85EV+4%
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- IFK Göteborg to win50%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Degerfors25% probability@4.54PinnacleEV+15%
- Over 2.556% probability@1.85PinnacleEV+4%
| Bookmaker | 1 · IFK Göteborg | X | 2 · Degerfors |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.81 | 3.70 | EV+ 15% 4.54 |
Odds updated 2 Aug, 12:08
Odds movement
1+7 %
57 %52 %
1.69 → 1.81
X-5 %
28 %23 %
3.89 → 3.70
2-4 %
23 %18 %
4.72 → 4.54
Over 2,5+5 %
56 %51 %
1.77 → 1.85
Pinnacle · 15 recorded price levels · 26/07/2026 → 02/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins IFK Göteborg vs Degerfors according to our model?
The model gives IFK Göteborg a 50% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: IFK Göteborg 50%, draw 25%, Degerfors 25%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and under at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
More matches in the league
Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.