Swedish AllsvenskanGamla Ullevi, Göteborg17°17 km/h

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    IFK GöteborgIFK Göteborg
    vs
    The model's lean: 1 · IFK Göteborg (40%)
    Best value by the model: Under 2,5 @ 2.13 (+0 %)
    Kalmar FFKalmar FF

    IFK GöteborgKalmar FF · Swedish Allsvenskan

    1 · IFK Göteborg 40%X 25%34% Kalmar FF · 2

    Match prediction: IFK GöteborgKalmar FF

    Predicted score matrix

    Kalmar FF
    IFK Göteborg
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–06.4%
    0–17.4%
    0–24.9%
    0–32.0%
    0–4+0.8%
    1
    1–09.1%
    1–112.2%
    1–27.4%
    1–33.1%
    1–4+1.3%
    2
    2–07.2%
    2–19.1%
    2–25.7%
    2–32.4%
    2–4+1.0%
    3
    3–03.7%
    3–14.6%
    3–22.9%
    3–31.2%
    3–4+0.5%
    4+
    4+–02.0%
    4+–12.5%
    4+–21.6%
    4+–30.7%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-112%
    2. 2.2-19%
    3. 3.1-09%
    4. 4.1-27%
    5. 5.0-17%
    Expected goals
    1,531,26
    Both teams to score
    57%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,8
    Under 2,547%
    @2.13EV+0%
    Over 2,553%
    @1.70

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance IFK Göteborg or draw (1X)69%
    • Over 1.5 goals77%

    Combined probability

    54%

    Fair odds

    1.87

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance IFK Göteborg or draw (1X)69%
    • Over 2.5 goals53%

    Combined probability

    34%

    Fair odds

    2.92

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score57%
    • Over 2.5 goals53%

    Combined probability

    44%

    Fair odds

    2.25

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • Under 2.547% probability@2.13PinnacleEV+0%
    Bookmaker1 · IFK GöteborgX2 · Kalmar FF
    Pinnacle2.323.492.93

    Odds updated 3 Aug, 04:53

    Odds movement

    1+5 %
    44 %39 %

    2.222.32

    X+1 %
    30 %25 %

    3.473.49

    2-3 %
    34 %29 %

    3.022.93

    Over 2,5+1 %
    58 %53 %

    1.691.70

    Pinnacle · 2 recorded price levels · 02/08/2026 → 03/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins IFK Göteborg vs Kalmar FF according to our model?

    The model gives IFK Göteborg a 40% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: IFK Göteborg 40%, draw 25%, Kalmar FF 34%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 53% and under at 47%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.