Swedish AllsvenskanStudenternas, Uppsala19°2,7 mm24 km/h

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    SiriusSirius
    vs
    The model's lean: 1 · Sirius (68%)
    Best value by the model: 2 · Brommapojkarna @ 10.04 (+29 %)
    BrommapojkarnaBrommapojkarna

    Sirius – Brommapojkarna · Swedish Allsvenskan

    1 · Sirius 68%X 19%13% Brommapojkarna · 2

    Match prediction: Sirius – Brommapojkarna

    Predicted score matrix

    Brommapojkarna →
    Sirius →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–03.2%
    0–13.2%
    0–22.0%
    0–30.7%
    0–4+0.3%
    1
    1–06.9%
    1–18.3%
    1–24.6%
    1–31.8%
    1–4+0.6%
    2
    2–08.4%
    2–19.6%
    2–25.5%
    2–32.1%
    2–4+0.8%
    3
    3–06.6%
    3–17.6%
    3–24.3%
    3–31.6%
    3–4+0.6%
    4+
    4+–06.8%
    4+–17.8%
    4+–24.5%
    4+–31.7%
    4+–4+0.6%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.2-110%
    2. 2.2-08%
    3. 3.1-18%
    4. 4.3-18%
    5. 5.1-07%
    Expected goals
    2,37–1,14
    Both teams to score
    62%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,5
    Under 2,532%
    –
    Over 2,568%
    –

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Sirius to win68%
    • Over 1.5 goals87%

    Combined probability

    57%

    Fair odds

    1.75

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Sirius to win68%
    • Over 2.5 goals68%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.05

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score62%
    • Over 2.5 goals68%

    Combined probability

    54%

    Fair odds

    1.86

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Brommapojkarna13% probability@10.04PinnacleEV+29%
    • X · Draw19% probability@5.90Betfair ExchangeEV+15%
    • 2 · Brommapojkarna13% probability@8.80Betfair ExchangeEV+13%
    Bookmaker1 · SiriusX2 · Brommapojkarna
    Betfair Exchange1.31
    EV+ 15%
    5.90
    EV+ 13%
    8.80
    Pinnacle1.304.87
    EV+ 29%
    10.04

    Odds updated 4 Aug, 09:04

    Odds movement

    1-1 %
    74 %69 %

    1.32 → 1.30

    X+1 %
    22 %17 %

    4.82 → 4.87

    2+1 %
    12 %7 %

    9.90 → 10.04

    Pinnacle · 2 recorded price levels · 04/08/2026 → 04/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Sirius vs Brommapojkarna according to our model?

    The model gives Sirius a 68% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sirius 68%, draw 19%, Brommapojkarna 13%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 68% and under at 32%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.