Swedish AllsvenskanStudenternas, Uppsala18°1,9 mm22 km/h

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    SiriusSirius
    4–1
    The model's lean: 1 · Sirius (55%)
    Best value by the model: 2 · IFK Göteborg @ 5.95 (+29 %)
    IFK GöteborgIFK Göteborg

    Sirius – IFK Göteborg · Swedish Allsvenskan

    1 · Sirius 55%X 23%22% IFK Göteborg · 2
    Final score
    4 – 1
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Sirius 55% · Draw 23% · IFK Göteborg 22%

    Match prediction: Sirius – IFK Göteborg

    Predicted score matrix

    IFK Göteborg →
    Sirius →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.0%
    0–15.0%
    0–23.0%
    0–31.2%
    0–4+0.4%
    1
    1–08.7%
    1–110.5%
    1–25.8%
    1–32.2%
    1–4+0.8%
    2
    2–08.7%
    2–19.9%
    2–25.6%
    2–32.1%
    2–4+0.8%
    3
    3–05.5%
    3–16.3%
    3–23.6%
    3–31.4%
    3–4+0.5%
    4+
    4+–04.1%
    4+–14.7%
    4+–22.7%
    4+–31.0%
    4+–4+0.4%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.1-09%
    4. 4.2-09%
    5. 5.3-16%
    Expected goals
    1,92–1,14
    Both teams to score
    58%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,1
    Under 2,541%
    @2.60EV+6%
    Over 2,559%
    @1.48

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Sirius to win55%
    • Over 1.5 goals81%

    Combined probability

    47%

    Fair odds

    2.15

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Sirius to win55%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%

    Combined probability

    38%

    Fair odds

    2.64

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score58%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%

    Combined probability

    48%

    Fair odds

    2.09

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · IFK Göteborg22% probability@5.95PinnacleEV+29%
    • 2 · IFK Göteborg22% probability@5.00Bet365EV+8%
    • X · Draw23% probability@4.65PinnacleEV+7%
    Bookmaker1 · SiriusX2 · IFK Göteborg
    Bet3651.504.33
    EV+ 8%
    5.00
    Pinnacle1.51
    EV+ 7%
    4.65
    EV+ 29%
    5.95

    Odds updated 26 Jul, 12:08

    Odds movement

    1-1 %
    67 %62 %

    1.52 → 1.51

    X-1 %
    22 %17 %

    4.68 → 4.65

    2+14 %
    19 %14 %

    5.23 → 5.95

    Pinnacle · 19 recorded price levels · 20/07/2026 → 26/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Sirius vs IFK Göteborg according to our model?

    The model gives Sirius a 55% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sirius 55%, draw 23%, IFK Göteborg 22%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.