Swedish AllsvenskanIver Arena, Västerås18°8,4 mm26 km/h

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    Västerås SKVästerås SK
    vs
    The model's lean: 2 · Djurgården (49%)
    DjurgårdenDjurgården

    Västerås SK – Djurgården · Swedish Allsvenskan

    1 · Västerås SK 26%X 25%49% Djurgården · 2

    Match prediction: Västerås SK – Djurgården

    Predicted score matrix

    Djurgården →
    Västerås SK →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.1%
    0–17.9%
    0–27.1%
    0–34.1%
    0–4+2.6%
    1
    1–06.0%
    1–111.1%
    1–29.4%
    1–35.4%
    1–4+3.4%
    2
    2–04.1%
    2–17.1%
    2–26.2%
    2–33.5%
    2–4+2.3%
    3
    3–01.8%
    3–13.1%
    3–22.7%
    3–31.6%
    3–4+1.0%
    4+
    4+–00.8%
    4+–11.4%
    4+–21.2%
    4+–30.7%
    4+–4+0.4%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.1-29%
    3. 3.0-18%
    4. 4.2-17%
    5. 5.0-27%
    Expected goals
    1,32–1,73
    Both teams to score
    60%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,541%
    –
    Over 2,559%
    –

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Djurgården to win49%
    • Over 1.5 goals81%

    Combined probability

    39%

    Fair odds

    2.58

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Djurgården to win49%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%

    Combined probability

    32%

    Fair odds

    3.16

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score60%
    • Over 2.5 goals59%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.03

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    Bookmaker1 · Västerås SKX2 · Djurgården
    Betfair Exchange3.803.951.91
    Pinnacle3.743.941.85

    Odds updated 5 Aug, 04:54

    Odds movement

    Market signal

    The market has moved clearly towards the draw since 4 August — the odds have shortened from 4.33 to 3.94 (−9%).

    1-9 %
    27 %22 %

    4.09 → 3.74

    X-9 %
    25 %20 %

    4.33 → 3.94

    2+9 %
    56 %51 %

    1.70 → 1.85

    Pinnacle · 4 recorded price levels · 04/08/2026 → 05/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Västerås SK vs Djurgården according to our model?

    The model gives Djurgården a 49% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Västerås SK 26%, draw 25%, Djurgården 49%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.