Västerås SK vs Örgryte: Prediction & Odds (24 Jul 2026)

Swedish Allsvenskan24 July 2026 19:00 CESTIver Arena, Västerås20°22 km/h

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Västerås SK

2–0

The model's lean: 1 · Västerås SK (50%)

Best value by the model: 2 · Örgryte @ 7.50 (+88 %)

Örgryte

1 · Västerås SK 50%X 25%25% Örgryte · 2

50%

25%

Final score

2 – 0

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Västerås SK 50% · Draw 25% · Örgryte 25%

Match prediction: Västerås SK – Örgryte

Predicted score matrix

Örgryte →

Västerås SK →

0–04.1%

0–14.5%

0–22.9%

0–31.2%

0–4+0.5%

1–07.6%

1–19.9%

1–25.9%

1–32.4%

1–4+1.0%

2–07.9%

2–19.7%

2–26.0%

2–32.4%

2–4+1.0%

3–05.4%

3–16.6%

3–24.0%

3–31.7%

3–4+0.7%

4+–04.3%

4+–15.3%

4+–23.3%

4+–31.3%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-110%
2.2-110%
3.2-08%
4.1-08%
5.3-17%

Expected goals

2,03–1,23

Both teams to score

62%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,3

112%

221%

322%

418%

5+23%

Under 2,537%

@2.50

Over 2,563%

@1.50

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Västerås SK to win50%
Over 1.5 goals84%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Västerås SK to win50%
Over 2.5 goals63%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score62%
Over 2.5 goals63%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Örgryte25% probability@7.50Bet365EV+88%
2 · Örgryte25% probability@4.92PinnacleEV+24%
X · Draw25% probability@4.50Bet365EV+13%

Bookmaker	1 · Västerås SK	X	2 · Örgryte
Bet365	1.38	EV+ 13% 4.50	EV+ 88% 7.50
Pinnacle	1.62	EV+ 12% 4.47	EV+ 24% 4.92

Odds updated 24 Jul, 16:08

Odds movement

1+6 %

63 %58 %

1.53 → 1.62

X-2 %

24 %19 %

4.58 → 4.47

2-7 %

21 %16 %

5.30 → 4.92

Pinnacle · 12 recorded price levels · 21/07/2026 → 24/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Västerås SK vs Örgryte according to our model?

The model gives Västerås SK a 50% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Västerås SK 50%, draw 25%, Örgryte 25%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 63% and under at 37%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 62% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.