Falkenberg vs Nordic United: Prediction & Odds (8 Aug 2026)

Swedish Superettan8 August 2026 13:00 CESTFalcon Alkoholfri Arena, Falkenberg17°24 km/h

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Falkenberg

The model's lean: 1 · Falkenberg (39%)

Best value by the model: 2 · Nordic United @ 3.10 (+9 %)

Nordic United

1 · Falkenberg 39%X 26%35% Nordic United · 2

39%

26%

35%

Match prediction: Falkenberg – Nordic United

Predicted score matrix

Nordic United →

Falkenberg →

0–05.4%

0–16.6%

0–24.8%

0–32.2%

0–4+1.0%

1–07.8%

1–111.5%

1–27.7%

1–33.5%

1–4+1.6%

2–06.6%

2–19.0%

2–26.2%

2–32.8%

2–4+1.3%

3–03.5%

3–14.9%

3–23.3%

3–31.5%

3–4+0.7%

4+–02.0%

4+–12.8%

4+–21.9%

4+–30.9%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.2-19%
3.1-08%
4.1-28%
5.0-17%

Expected goals

1,61–1,37

Both teams to score

60%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,0

114%

223%

322%

417%

5+18%

Under 2,543%

–

Over 2,557%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Falkenberg or draw (1X)68%
Over 1.5 goals80%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance Falkenberg or draw (1X)68%
Over 2.5 goals57%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score60%
Over 2.5 goals57%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Nordic United35% probability@3.10Betfair ExchangeEV+9%

Bookmaker	1 · Falkenberg	X	2 · Nordic United
Betfair Exchange	2.12	3.30	EV+ 9% 3.10

Odds updated 4 Aug, 09:05

Odds movement

1-1 %

45 %40 %

2.14 → 2.12

X0 %

30 %25 %

3.30 → 3.30

2+2 %

32 %27 %

3.05 → 3.10

Betfair Exchange · 3 recorded price levels · 02/08/2026 → 04/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Falkenberg vs Nordic United according to our model?

The model gives Falkenberg a 39% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Falkenberg 39%, draw 26%, Nordic United 35%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 57% and under at 43%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.