01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Falkenberg to win55%
- Over 1.5 goals79%
Swedish SuperettanNP3 Arena, Sundsvall18°1,8 mm16 km/h
Läs på svenska
GIF Sundsvall1–2
The model's lean: 2 · Falkenberg (55%)
FalkenbergGIF Sundsvall – Falkenberg · Swedish Superettan
1 · GIF Sundsvall 21%X 23%55% Falkenberg · 2
21%
23%
55%
Final score
1 – 2
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: GIF Sundsvall 21% · Draw 23% · Falkenberg 55%
Match prediction: GIF Sundsvall – Falkenberg
Predicted score matrix
Falkenberg →
GIF Sundsvall →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.7%
0–19.1%
0–28.3%
0–34.9%
0–4+3.2%
1
1–05.9%
1–111.3%
1–29.7%
1–35.7%
1–4+3.7%
2
2–03.6%
2–16.4%
2–25.6%
2–33.3%
2–4+2.2%
3
3–01.4%
3–12.5%
3–22.2%
3–31.3%
3–4+0.8%
4+
4+–00.5%
4+–10.9%
4+–20.8%
4+–30.5%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.1-210%
- 3.0-19%
- 4.0-28%
- 5.2-16%
Expected goals
1,17–1,76
Both teams to score
57%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,90
115%
223%
322%
416%
5+17%
Under 2,544%
@2.11
Over 2,556%
@1.80EV+1%
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Falkenberg to win55%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score57%
- Over 2.5 goals56%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Falkenberg55% probability@2.06PinnacleEV+14%
- 2 · Falkenberg55% probability@2.05BetMGM UKEV+14%
- Over 3.534% probability@3.00BetMGM UKEV+1%
| Bookmaker | 1 · GIF Sundsvall | X | 2 · Falkenberg |
|---|---|---|---|
| BetMGM UK | 3.30 | 3.40 | EV+ 14% 2.05 |
| Pinnacle | 3.66 | 3.50 | EV+ 14% 2.06 |
Odds updated 26 Jul, 12:08
Odds movement
1+15 %
34 %24 %
3.18 → 3.66
X-1 %
31 %21 %
3.54 → 3.50
2-4 %
50 %40 %
2.15 → 2.06
Over 2,5+2 %
60 %50 %
1.72 → 1.76
Pinnacle · 15 recorded price levels · 22/07/2026 → 26/07/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins GIF Sundsvall vs Falkenberg according to our model?
The model gives Falkenberg a 55% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: GIF Sundsvall 21%, draw 23%, Falkenberg 55%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and under at 44%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.