Helsingborgs IF vs Nordic United: Prediction & Odds (28 Jul 2026)

Swedish Superettan28 July 2026 19:00 CESTOlympia, Helsingborg18°39 km/h

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Helsingborgs IF

1–1

The model's lean: 2 · Nordic United (44%)

Nordic United

1 · Helsingborgs IF 32%X 24%44% Nordic United · 2

32%

24%

44%

Final score

1 – 1

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Helsingborgs IF 32% · Draw 24% · Nordic United 44%

Match prediction: Helsingborgs IF – Nordic United

Predicted score matrix

Nordic United →

Helsingborgs IF →

0–05.0%

0–17.3%

0–26.2%

0–33.4%

0–4+2.0%

1–06.4%

1–111.2%

1–28.9%

1–34.8%

1–4+2.8%

2–04.8%

2–17.8%

2–26.4%

2–33.4%

2–4+2.0%

3–02.3%

3–13.7%

3–23.0%

3–31.6%

3–4+1.0%

4+–01.1%

4+–11.8%

4+–21.5%

4+–30.8%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.1-29%
3.2-18%
4.0-17%
5.1-06%

Expected goals

1,43–1,63

Both teams to score

61%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

114%

222%

322%

417%

5+19%

Under 2,541%

@2.32

Over 2,559%

@1.73EV+2%

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Nordic United or draw (X2)67%
Over 1.5 goals81%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance Nordic United or draw (X2)67%
Over 2.5 goals59%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score61%
Over 2.5 goals59%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Nordic United44% probability@3.40Betfair ExchangeEV+51%
2 · Nordic United44% probability@2.63Paddy PowerEV+16%
Over 4.519% probability@5.50Betfair ExchangeEV+7%

Bookmaker	1 · Helsingborgs IF	X	2 · Nordic United
Betfair Exchange	2.24	3.80	EV+ 51% 3.40
Paddy Power	2.20	3.60	EV+ 16% 2.63

Odds updated 28 Jul, 18:08

Odds movement

Market signal

The market has moved clearly towards a Helsingborgs IF win since 23 July — the odds have shortened from 2.34 to 2.24 (−4%).

1-4 %

49 %39 %

2.34 → 2.24

X+13 %

30 %20 %

3.35 → 3.80

2+19 %

36 %26 %

2.86 → 3.40

Betfair Exchange · 26 recorded price levels · 23/07/2026 → 28/07/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Helsingborgs IF vs Nordic United according to our model?

The model gives Nordic United a 44% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Helsingborgs IF 32%, draw 24%, Nordic United 44%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.