Swedish SuperettanÖstgötaporten, Norrköping18°20 km/h

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    IFK NorrköpingIFK Norrköping
    20
    The model's lean: 1 · IFK Norrköping (63%)
    Helsingborgs IFHelsingborgs IF

    IFK NorrköpingHelsingborgs IF · Swedish Superettan

    1 · IFK Norrköping 63%X 18%19% Helsingborgs IF · 2
    Final score
    20
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: IFK Norrköping 63% · Draw 18% · Helsingborgs IF 19%

    Match prediction: IFK NorrköpingHelsingborgs IF

    Predicted score matrix

    Helsingborgs IF
    IFK Norrköping
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–03.3%
    0–13.5%
    0–22.3%
    0–30.9%
    0–4+0.4%
    1
    1–06.8%
    1–18.8%
    1–25.2%
    1–32.1%
    1–4+0.8%
    2
    2–07.9%
    2–19.6%
    2–25.8%
    2–32.4%
    2–4+0.9%
    3
    3–06.0%
    3–17.2%
    3–24.4%
    3–31.8%
    3–4+0.7%
    4+
    4+–05.7%
    4+–16.9%
    4+–24.2%
    4+–31.7%
    4+–4+0.7%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.2-110%
    2. 2.1-19%
    3. 3.2-08%
    4. 4.3-17%
    5. 5.1-07%
    Expected goals
    2,261,21
    Both teams to score
    63%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,5
    Under 2,533%
    @2.50
    Over 2,567%
    @1.50EV+1%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • IFK Norrköping to win63%
    • Over 1.5 goals86%

    Combined probability

    54%

    Fair odds

    1.86

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • IFK Norrköping to win63%
    • Over 2.5 goals67%

    Combined probability

    46%

    Fair odds

    2.19

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score63%
    • Over 2.5 goals67%

    Combined probability

    54%

    Fair odds

    1.84

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 1 · IFK Norrköping63% probability@1.67PinnacleEV+6%
    • Over 2.567% probability@1.50Bet365EV+1%
    • Over 4.527% probability@3.75Bet365EV+1%
    Bookmaker1 · IFK NorrköpingX2 · Helsingborgs IF
    Bet3651.504.005.00
    BetMGM UK1.534.205.10
    Betfair Exchange1.041.031.04
    Pinnacle
    EV+ 6%
    1.67
    3.984.97

    Odds updated 1 Aug, 15:53

    Odds movement

    Market signal

    The market has moved clearly towards the draw since 29 July — the odds have shortened from 4.42 to 3.98 (−10%).

    1+5 %
    62 %57 %

    1.581.67

    X-10 %
    25 %20 %

    4.423.98

    2+4 %
    22 %17 %

    4.804.97

    Pinnacle · 16 recorded price levels · 29/07/2026 → 01/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins IFK Norrköping vs Helsingborgs IF according to our model?

    The model gives IFK Norrköping a 63% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: IFK Norrköping 63%, draw 18%, Helsingborgs IF 19%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 67% and under at 33%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 63% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.