Swedish SuperettanÖstgötaporten, Norrköping18°0,6 mm14 km/h

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    IFK NorrköpingIFK Norrköping
    vs
    The model's lean: 1 · IFK Norrköping (63%)
    Best value by the model: Under 3,5 @ 1.66 (+3 %)
    BrageBrage

    IFK Norrköping – Brage · Swedish Superettan

    1 · IFK Norrköping 63%X 18%19% Brage · 2

    Match prediction: IFK Norrköping – Brage

    Predicted score matrix

    Brage →
    IFK Norrköping →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.7%
    0–14.5%
    0–22.5%
    0–30.9%
    0–4+0.3%
    1
    1–08.9%
    1–110.0%
    1–25.1%
    1–31.8%
    1–4+0.6%
    2
    2–09.4%
    2–19.9%
    2–25.2%
    2–31.8%
    2–4+0.6%
    3
    3–06.4%
    3–16.8%
    3–23.6%
    3–31.3%
    3–4+0.4%
    4+
    4+–05.3%
    4+–15.6%
    4+–22.9%
    4+–31.0%
    4+–4+0.3%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-110%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.2-09%
    4. 4.1-09%
    5. 5.3-17%
    Expected goals
    2,05–1,06
    Both teams to score
    57%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,1
    Under 2,540%
    –
    Over 2,560%
    –

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • IFK Norrköping to win63%
    • Over 1.5 goals82%

    Combined probability

    51%

    Fair odds

    1.96

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • IFK Norrköping to win63%
    • Over 2.5 goals60%

    Combined probability

    42%

    Fair odds

    2.40

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score57%
    • Over 2.5 goals60%

    Combined probability

    47%

    Fair odds

    2.12

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • Under 3.562% probability@1.66PinnacleEV+3%
    • 2 · Brage19% probability@5.42PinnacleEV+0%
    Bookmaker1 · IFK NorrköpingX2 · Brage
    Pinnacle1.514.42
    EV+ 0%
    5.42

    Odds updated 5 Aug, 04:55

    Odds movement

    1-5 %
    62 %57 %

    1.58 → 1.51

    X+2 %
    24 %19 %

    4.32 → 4.42

    2+14 %
    21 %16 %

    4.77 → 5.42

    Pinnacle · 5 recorded price levels · 02/08/2026 → 05/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins IFK Norrköping vs Brage according to our model?

    The model gives IFK Norrköping a 63% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: IFK Norrköping 63%, draw 18%, Brage 19%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and under at 40%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.