IFK Värnamo vs Brage: Prediction & Odds (25 Jul 2026)

Swedish Superettan25 July 2026 15:00 CESTFinnvedsvallen, Värnamo16°1,4 mm16 km/h

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IFK Värnamo

0–0

The model's lean: 2 · Brage (39%)

Brage

1 · IFK Värnamo 37%X 24%39% Brage · 2

37%

24%

39%

Final score

0 – 0

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: IFK Värnamo 37% · Draw 24% · Brage 39%

Match prediction: IFK Värnamo – Brage

Predicted score matrix

Brage →

IFK Värnamo →

0–06.1%

0–18.3%

0–26.5%

0–33.2%

0–4+1.7%

1–07.5%

1–112.1%

1–28.8%

1–34.4%

1–4+2.3%

2–05.3%

2–17.9%

2–25.9%

2–32.9%

2–4+1.5%

3–02.4%

3–13.6%

3–22.7%

3–31.3%

3–4+0.7%

4+–01.1%

4+–11.6%

4+–21.2%

4+–30.6%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.1-29%
3.0-18%
4.2-18%
5.1-08%

Expected goals

1,35–1,49

Both teams to score

58%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,8

116%

224%

322%

416%

5+16%

Under 2,546%

@2.44EV+12%

Over 2,554%

@1.68

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Brage or draw (X2)66%
Over 1.5 goals78%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance Brage or draw (X2)66%
Over 2.5 goals54%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score58%
Over 2.5 goals54%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Brage39% probability@3.20Betfair ExchangeEV+24%
2 · Brage39% probability@3.11PinnacleEV+21%
Under 0.56% probability@19.50Betfair ExchangeEV+20%

Bookmaker	1 · IFK Värnamo	X	2 · Brage
Betfair Exchange	2.30	3.80	EV+ 24% 3.20
Pinnacle	2.19	3.74	EV+ 21% 3.11

Odds updated 25 Jul, 14:08

Odds movement

1+2 %

46 %41 %

2.14 → 2.19

X+2 %

28 %23 %

3.67 → 3.74

20 %

34 %29 %

3.11 → 3.11

Pinnacle · 9 recorded price levels · 20/07/2026 → 25/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins IFK Värnamo vs Brage according to our model?

The model gives Brage a 39% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: IFK Värnamo 37%, draw 24%, Brage 39%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.