Swedish SuperettanLandskrona IP, Landskrona18°39 km/h

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    Landskrona BoISLandskrona BoIS
    01
    The model's lean: 2 · IFK Norrköping (43%)
    Best value by the model: Over 2,5 @ 1.77 (+3 %)
    IFK NorrköpingIFK Norrköping

    Landskrona BoISIFK Norrköping · Swedish Superettan

    1 · Landskrona BoIS 32%X 25%43% IFK Norrköping · 2
    Final score
    01
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Landskrona BoIS 32% · Draw 25% · IFK Norrköping 43%

    Match prediction: Landskrona BoISIFK Norrköping

    Predicted score matrix

    IFK Norrköping
    Landskrona BoIS
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.3%
    0–17.3%
    0–25.9%
    0–33.0%
    0–4+1.7%
    1
    1–06.9%
    1–111.5%
    1–28.6%
    1–34.4%
    1–4+2.4%
    2
    2–05.3%
    2–18.2%
    2–26.3%
    2–33.2%
    2–4+1.8%
    3
    3–02.6%
    3–14.0%
    3–23.1%
    3–31.6%
    3–4+0.9%
    4+
    4+–01.3%
    4+–12.0%
    4+–21.5%
    4+–30.8%
    4+–4+0.4%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.1-29%
    3. 3.2-18%
    4. 4.0-17%
    5. 5.1-07%
    Expected goals
    1,461,55
    Both teams to score
    61%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,542%
    @2.09
    Over 2,558%
    @1.77EV+3%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance IFK Norrköping or draw (X2)64%
    • Over 1.5 goals80%

    Combined probability

    52%

    Fair odds

    1.93

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance IFK Norrköping or draw (X2)64%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    34%

    Fair odds

    2.91

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score61%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.03

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • Over 2.558% probability@1.77PinnacleEV+3%
    • 2 · IFK Norrköping43% probability@2.37PinnacleEV+2%
    Bookmaker1 · Landskrona BoISX2 · IFK Norrköping
    Pinnacle2.943.55
    EV+ 2%
    2.37

    Odds updated 28 Jul, 18:08

    Odds movement

    Market signal

    The market has moved clearly towards a Landskrona BoIS win since 22 July — the odds have shortened from 3.25 to 2.94 (−10%).

    1-10 %
    35 %25 %

    3.252.94

    X-1 %
    31 %21 %

    3.593.55

    2+13 %
    49 %39 %

    2.102.37

    Over 2,5+4 %
    61 %51 %

    1.701.77

    Pinnacle · 21 recorded price levels · 22/07/2026 → 28/07/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Landskrona BoIS vs IFK Norrköping according to our model?

    The model gives IFK Norrköping a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Landskrona BoIS 32%, draw 25%, IFK Norrköping 43%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.