Swedish SuperettanSkarsjövallen, Uddevalla16°19 km/h

    Läs på svenska
    LjungskileLjungskile
    vs
    The model's lean: 1 · Ljungskile (39%)
    Best value by the model: Over 2,5 @ 1.80 (+5 %)
    OddevoldOddevold

    LjungskileOddevold · Swedish Superettan

    1 · Ljungskile 39%X 26%35% Oddevold · 2

    Match prediction: LjungskileOddevold

    Predicted score matrix

    Oddevold
    Ljungskile
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.1%
    0–16.9%
    0–25.5%
    0–32.7%
    0–4+1.5%
    1
    1–07.0%
    1–111.4%
    1–28.3%
    1–34.2%
    1–4+2.2%
    2
    2–05.6%
    2–18.5%
    2–26.4%
    2–33.2%
    2–4+1.7%
    3
    3–02.9%
    3–14.3%
    3–23.2%
    3–31.6%
    3–4+0.9%
    4+
    4+–01.5%
    4+–12.3%
    4+–21.7%
    4+–30.9%
    4+–4+0.5%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.2-18%
    3. 3.1-28%
    4. 4.1-07%
    5. 5.0-17%
    Expected goals
    1,531,51
    Both teams to score
    61%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,542%
    @2.00
    Over 2,558%
    @1.80EV+5%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Ljungskile or draw (1X)63%
    • Over 1.5 goals81%

    Combined probability

    51%

    Fair odds

    1.97

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Ljungskile or draw (1X)63%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    34%

    Fair odds

    2.96

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score61%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    50%

    Fair odds

    2.00

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • Over 2.558% probability@1.80PinnacleEV+5%
    Bookmaker1 · LjungskileX2 · Oddevold
    Pinnacle2.543.372.68

    Odds updated 4 Aug, 04:53

    Odds movement

    1-2 %
    39 %34 %

    2.592.54

    X+1 %
    31 %26 %

    3.343.37

    2+2 %
    38 %33 %

    2.642.68

    Over 2,5-1 %
    55 %50 %

    1.821.80

    Pinnacle · 3 recorded price levels · 02/08/2026 → 04/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Ljungskile vs Oddevold according to our model?

    The model gives Ljungskile a 39% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Ljungskile 39%, draw 26%, Oddevold 35%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.