01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Ljungskile or draw (1X)68%
- Over 1.5 goals81%
Swedish SuperettanSkarsjövallen, Uddevalla16°0,9 mm22 km/h
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Ljungskile2–1
The model's lean: 1 · Ljungskile (43%)
Best value by the model: 2 · Sandviken @ 3.96 (+27 %)
SandvikenLjungskile – Sandviken · Swedish Superettan
1 · Ljungskile 43%X 25%32% Sandviken · 2
43%
25%
32%
Final score
2 – 1
The model called the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Ljungskile 43% · Draw 25% · Sandviken 32%
Match prediction: Ljungskile – Sandviken
Predicted score matrix
Sandviken →
Ljungskile →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.1%
0–16.4%
0–24.7%
0–32.2%
0–4+1.0%
1
1–07.5%
1–111.3%
1–27.7%
1–33.6%
1–4+1.7%
2
2–06.5%
2–19.0%
2–26.3%
2–32.9%
2–4+1.4%
3
3–03.5%
3–15.0%
3–23.5%
3–31.6%
3–4+0.8%
4+
4+–02.1%
4+–12.9%
4+–22.1%
4+–31.0%
4+–4+0.5%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-111%
- 2.2-19%
- 3.1-28%
- 4.1-08%
- 5.2-06%
Expected goals
1,65–1,40
Both teams to score
61%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
114%
222%
322%
417%
5+19%
Under 2,541%
–
Over 2,559%
–
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Ljungskile or draw (1X)68%
- Over 2.5 goals59%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score61%
- Over 2.5 goals59%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 2 · Sandviken32% probability@3.96PinnacleEV+27%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Ljungskile | X | 2 · Sandviken |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.84 | 3.99 | EV+ 27% 3.96 |
Odds updated 26 Jul, 14:08
Odds movement
Market signal
The market has moved clearly towards a Ljungskile win since 20 July — the odds have shortened from 1.94 to 1.84 (−5%).
1-5 %
52 %47 %
1.94 → 1.84
X+5 %
27 %22 %
3.81 → 3.99
2+13 %
28 %23 %
3.49 → 3.96
Pinnacle · 10 recorded price levels · 20/07/2026 → 26/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Ljungskile vs Sandviken according to our model?
The model gives Ljungskile a 43% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Ljungskile 43%, draw 25%, Sandviken 32%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.