Nordic United vs Ljungskile: Prediction & Odds (2 Aug 2026)

Swedish Superettan2 August 2026 15:00 CESTSödertälje Fotbollsarena, Södertälje17°19 km/h

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Nordic United

2–2

The model's lean: 1 · Nordic United (47%)

Ljungskile

1 · Nordic United 47%X 25%27% Ljungskile · 2

47%

25%

27%

Final score

2 – 2

The model missed the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Nordic United 47% · Draw 25% · Ljungskile 27%

Match prediction: Nordic United – Ljungskile

Predicted score matrix

Ljungskile →

Nordic United →

0–05.8%

0–16.3%

0–24.0%

0–31.6%

0–4+0.6%

1–09.0%

1–111.5%

1–26.7%

1–32.7%

1–4+1.1%

2–07.9%

2–19.5%

2–25.7%

2–32.3%

2–4+0.9%

3–04.5%

3–15.4%

3–23.3%

3–31.3%

3–4+0.5%

4+–02.8%

4+–13.4%

4+–22.0%

4+–30.8%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.2-110%
3.1-09%
4.2-08%
5.1-27%

Expected goals

1,70–1,20

Both teams to score

58%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,9

115%

223%

322%

416%

5+17%

Under 2,544%

@2.36EV+5%

Over 2,556%

@1.70

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Nordic United to win47%
Over 1.5 goals79%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Nordic United to win47%
Over 2.5 goals56%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score58%
Over 2.5 goals56%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Nordic United47% probability@2.52Betfair ExchangeEV+20%
Both teams to score: No42% probability@2.60Betfair ExchangeEV+10%
Under 0.56% probability@19.00Betfair ExchangeEV+10%

Bookmaker	1 · Nordic United	X	2 · Ljungskile
Betfair Exchange	EV+ 20% 2.52	3.70	2.88
Paddy Power	2.10	3.60	2.90

Odds updated 2 Aug, 14:08

Odds movement

1+15 %

46 %36 %

2.20 → 2.52

X-1 %

31 %21 %

3.75 → 3.70

2-3 %

38 %28 %

2.98 → 2.88

Over 2,5+15 %

68 %58 %

1.48 → 1.70

Betfair Exchange · 13 recorded price levels · 01/08/2026 → 02/08/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Nordic United vs Ljungskile according to our model?

The model gives Nordic United a 47% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Nordic United 47%, draw 25%, Ljungskile 27%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 56% and under at 44%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.