Swedish SuperettanBorås Arena, Borås16°1,8 mm17 km/h

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    NorrbyNorrby
    vs
    The model's lean: 1 · Norrby (41%)
    Best value by the model: Over 4,5 @ 6.00 (+12 %)
    Örebro SKÖrebro SK

    Norrby – Örebro SK · Swedish Superettan

    1 · Norrby 41%X 26%33% Örebro SK · 2

    Match prediction: Norrby – Örebro SK

    Predicted score matrix

    Örebro SK →
    Norrby →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.2%
    0–16.0%
    0–24.0%
    0–31.7%
    0–4+0.7%
    1
    1–08.2%
    1–111.2%
    1–27.0%
    1–33.0%
    1–4+1.3%
    2
    2–07.4%
    2–19.4%
    2–26.0%
    2–32.6%
    2–4+1.1%
    3
    3–04.3%
    3–15.5%
    3–23.5%
    3–31.5%
    3–4+0.6%
    4+
    4+–02.7%
    4+–13.5%
    4+–22.2%
    4+–31.0%
    4+–4+0.4%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.2-19%
    3. 3.1-08%
    4. 4.2-07%
    5. 5.1-27%
    Expected goals
    1,73–1,28
    Both teams to score
    60%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,542%
    @1.97
    Over 2,558%
    @1.85EV+7%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Norrby or draw (1X)72%
    • Over 1.5 goals81%

    Combined probability

    59%

    Fair odds

    1.71

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Norrby or draw (1X)72%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    40%

    Fair odds

    2.50

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score60%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.06

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • Over 4.519% probability@6.00Bet365EV+12%
    • Over 2.558% probability@1.85Bet365EV+7%
    • Over 3.536% probability@3.00Bet365EV+7%
    Bookmaker1 · NorrbyX2 · Örebro SK
    Bet3652.203.252.80
    Pinnacle2.283.38
    EV+ 1%
    3.04

    Odds updated 4 Aug, 04:53

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Norrby vs Örebro SK according to our model?

    The model gives Norrby a 41% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Norrby 41%, draw 26%, Örebro SK 33%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.