Öster vs GIF Sundsvall: Prediction & Odds (25 Aug 2026)

Swedish Superettan25 August 2026 19:00 CESTMyresjöhus Arena, Växjö11°13 km/h

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ÖsterCounter-attacks & crosses

GIF SundsvallLow block & direct

The model's lean: 1 · Öster (58%)

1 · Öster 58%X 22%20% GIF Sundsvall · 2

58%

22%

20%

Analysis: Öster – GIF Sundsvall

Oscar Nilsson · 18 August 2026 · Model-assisted analysis, fact-checked · How the predictions work

The numbers tell a compelling story: Östers IF, with a 58% chance of victory, are the clear favorites going into this clash against GIF Sundsvall. Holding the upper hand with 29 points compared to Sundsvall’s 10, and a perfect head-to-head record of three wins from three since 2024, the omens are firmly in their favor. However, the head-to-head sample size is small and less significant than the broader form and expected goals data.

Östers IF, winning 60% of their home games, have the advantage in familiar territory. Their expected goals at 2.04 suggest they’re likely to breach Sundsvall’s defense more than once. Meanwhile, Sundsvall’s xGA is slightly better at 1.4, pointing towards a defensive setup that could frustrate the hosts if they play their cards right. Yet, with an expected goals tally of just 0.98 per match, Sundsvall’s ability to retaliate feels limited.

The weather isn’t a factor here, so expect the playing styles to define this encounter. Östers IF’s proclivity for counter-attacks and crosses should exploit Sundsvall’s low defensive block. If they manage to break through early, it could set the stage for the 2-1 or 2-0 scorelines that the model favors. The 62% chance of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams scoring indicate a lively match, but the balance tilts towards Östers IF in terms of quality.

GIF Sundsvall’s hopes rest on a compact defense and direct plays to catch Östers on the break. However, with the model suggesting Östers could well keep them at bay, a 2-0 victory for the home side feels like a sensible call. The sharpest betting angle here lies in backing Östers IF to win at 1.75 odds with Bet365, offering a clear value proposition.

Öster

Form WWLLW

League ranking xG #13xGA #16xT #12xP/match #13Points #7

Key players

Linus CarlstrandFxG 0.46 · xT -0.02
Dennis OlssonLBxG 0.04 · xT 0.44
Oscar UddenäsRWxG 0.16 · xT 0.13

GIF Sundsvall

Form LLLLD

League ranking xG #14xGA #9xT #16xP/match #9Points #16

Key players

Suwaibou KebbehFxG 0.32 · xT 0.03
Taiki KagayamaFxG 0.11 · xT 0.09
Miguel SandbergLWxG 0.07 · xT 0.24

Match prediction: Öster – GIF Sundsvall

Predicted score matrix

GIF Sundsvall →

Öster →

0–04.4%

0–14.4%

0–22.7%

0–31.0%

0–4+0.4%

1–08.1%

1–19.9%

1–25.6%

1–32.1%

1–4+0.8%

2–08.5%

2–19.8%

2–25.7%

2–32.2%

2–4+0.8%

3–05.8%

3–16.7%

3–23.9%

3–31.5%

3–4+0.5%

4+–04.8%

4+–15.5%

4+–23.2%

4+–31.2%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-110%
2.2-110%
3.2-09%
4.1-08%
5.3-17%

Expected goals

2,04–1,15

Both teams to score

60%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,2

113%

221%

322%

418%

5+22%

Under 2,538%

@2.32

Over 2,562%

@1.55

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Öster to win58%
Over 1.5 goals83%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Öster to win58%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Kalipha Jawla to score30%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score60%
Over 2.5 goals62%
Kalipha Jawla to score30%
Lucas Forsberg to be booked18%

Odds & value

Bookmaker	1 · Öster	X	2 · GIF Sundsvall
Betsafe	1.64	4.04	4.83
Betsson	1.64	4.04	4.83
Nordicbet	1.64	4.04	4.83

Odds updated 18 Aug, 20:36

Odds movement

1-3 %

59 %54 %

1.69 → 1.64

X+1 %

26 %21 %

4.02 → 4.04

2+7 %

23 %18 %

4.50 → 4.83

Over 2,50 %

62 %57 %

1.55 → 1.55

Betsson · 3 recorded price levels · 18/08/2026 → 18/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

3 matches

Öster 3Draw 0GIF Sundsvall 0

Goals: 8–0 (⌀ 2,7)

Head-to-head based on Superettan data since 2024.

Key facts

Östers IF win 60% of their home matches all-time (25 played).

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Öster

GIF Sundsvall

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Öster (30–29)

GIF Sundsvall (14–43)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Öster

GIF Sundsvall

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Öster

GIF Sundsvall

The teams in numbers

Performance	Öster	GIF Sundsvall
Points	29	10
xPoints	22.1	26.3
xG per match	1.2	0.98
xGA per match	1.7	1.4
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.22	0.25
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.28	0.22

Playing style	Öster	GIF Sundsvall
Build-up efficiency	0.36	0.3
Field tilt	0.49	0.35
xT per match	1.3	1.1
xTA per match	1.8	1.6
Won balls, offensive half	28	29
Pressing intensity	0.56	0.5
Pressing efficiency	0.27	0.23
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.28	0.25
Entries into the box per match	14	11
Entries into the box against	19	15
Pass completion %	0.79	0.76
Pass completion % under pressure	0.75	0.69
Passes per match	381	299
Passes against per match	363	486
Switches of play per match	13.4	16.8
Long balls per match	29	30

Set pieces	Öster	GIF Sundsvall
xG from free kicks	0.16	0.06
Corners per match	5.3	4.4
Corners against per match	6	5.4
xG per corner	0.02	0.03
xGA per corner against	0.03	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.37	0.47
First touch, defensive corners %	0.58	0.57

Other	Öster	GIF Sundsvall
Throw-in control	0.57	0.55

The goalkeepers	Carl Lundahl Persson (Öster)	Jonas Olsson (GIF Sundsvall)
Saves	82	72
Save %	77%	63%
xG prevented	56%	43%
Claims	101 (87%)	119 (92%)

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Öster vs GIF Sundsvall according to our model?

The model gives Öster a 58% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Öster 58%, draw 22%, GIF Sundsvall 20%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 62% and under at 38%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.