Swedish SuperettanPåskbergsvallen, Varberg19°0,3 mm22 km/h

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    Varbergs BoISVarbergs BoIS
    vs
    The model's lean: 1 · Varbergs BoIS (48%)
    Best value by the model: 2 · Sandviken @ 3.74 (+3 %)
    SandvikenSandviken

    Varbergs BoIS – Sandviken · Swedish Superettan

    1 · Varbergs BoIS 48%X 24%28% Sandviken · 2

    Match prediction: Varbergs BoIS – Sandviken

    Predicted score matrix

    Sandviken →
    Varbergs BoIS →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–05.1%
    0–15.8%
    0–23.9%
    0–31.6%
    0–4+0.7%
    1
    1–08.2%
    1–111.1%
    1–26.8%
    1–32.9%
    1–4+1.2%
    2
    2–07.5%
    2–19.5%
    2–26.0%
    2–32.5%
    2–4+1.1%
    3
    3–04.4%
    3–15.6%
    3–23.5%
    3–31.5%
    3–4+0.6%
    4+
    4+–02.9%
    4+–13.7%
    4+–22.3%
    4+–31.0%
    4+–4+0.4%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.2-110%
    3. 3.1-08%
    4. 4.2-08%
    5. 5.1-27%
    Expected goals
    1,76–1,27
    Both teams to score
    60%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,0
    Under 2,542%
    –
    Over 2,558%
    –

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Varbergs BoIS to win48%
    • Over 1.5 goals81%

    Combined probability

    40%

    Fair odds

    2.47

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Varbergs BoIS to win48%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    33%

    Fair odds

    3.04

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score60%
    • Over 2.5 goals58%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.05

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Sandviken28% probability@3.74PinnacleEV+3%
    Bookmaker1 · Varbergs BoISX2 · Sandviken
    Pinnacle1.843.88
    EV+ 3%
    3.74

    Odds updated 4 Aug, 04:53

    Odds movement

    1+7 %
    55 %50 %

    1.72 → 1.84

    X-6 %
    26 %21 %

    4.11 → 3.88

    2-8 %
    27 %22 %

    4.06 → 3.74

    Pinnacle · 3 recorded price levels · 02/08/2026 → 04/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Varbergs BoIS vs Sandviken according to our model?

    The model gives Varbergs BoIS a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Varbergs BoIS 48%, draw 24%, Sandviken 28%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.