Turkish 1. Lig26°19 km/h

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    SarıyerSarıyerCounter-attacks & crosses
    vs
    BA
    Batman PetrolsporLow block & direct
    The model's lean: 1 · Sarıyer (48%)
    Limited data — The model has thin or uncertain data for this match — the forecast may be unreliable and the match is excluded from our value lists.

    Sarıyer – Batman Petrolspor · Turkish 1. Lig

    1 · Sarıyer 48%X 18%33% Batman Petrolspor · 2

    Analysis: Sarıyer – Batman Petrolspor

    Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

    66% — that's the over 2.5 goals likelihood here, and it captures the heart of the Sariyer vs Batman Petrolspor clash in the Turkish 1. Lig. Despite a model leaning towards Sariyer with a 48% win probability, the numbers unfold a narrative more favorable to Batman Petrolspor. Their xG figures, at 2.1 compared to Sariyer’s meager 0.98, suggest an attacking prowess that tilts the balance away from the hosts.

    Sariyer might boast a respectable home win rate of 55% in 20 games and a penchant for counter-attacks and crosses, but they are up against a Batman side that is tuned to the frequencies of low defense and direct play. It's Batman's defensive metrics, though, that really catch the eye — an xGA of just 0.84. Sariyer's 48% model-derived edge feels fragile when contrasted with Batman Petrolspor's superior xPoints and xG per match figures.

    Batman Petrolspor’s expected goals within 8 seconds of ball recovery at 0.17 versus Sariyer’s 0.1 further underscores their efficiency in quick transitions, perfectly suited to exploit a counter-attacking team like Sariyer. While both squads have a knack for finding the net, as indicated by a 64% likelihood of both teams scoring, Batman’s ability to manage defensive transitions effectively could tip the scales.

    The most likely scoreline of 2-1 aligns with this context, favoring Sariyer marginally, yet the statistical undercurrent sways towards Batman Petrolspor. Keep an eye on the over/under at 66% probability for over 2.5 goals — a reflection of the attacking impetus despite a weather forecast devoid of disruptive conditions.

    When it comes to betting value, Batman Petrolspor at 33% to win might hold interest, especially if bookmakers like Bet365 offer enticing odds. Their statistical edge, despite Sariyer’s model-favored stance, might just offer a lucrative opportunity for the astute bettor.

    SarıyerSarıyer
    Form LWWWD
    League ranking xG #15xGA #9xT #16xP/match #8Points #6
    Key players
    • Esref KorkmazogluLWBxG 0.00 · xT 0.11
    • Cebrail KarayelRWBxG 0.03 · xT 0.10
    • Emeka EzeFxG 0.48 · xT -0.03
    Batman Petrolspor
    Form DW
    League ranking xG #2xGA #7xT #11xP/match #1Points #5
    Key players
    • Mickaël Christophe BironLWxG 0.35 · xT 0.20
    • Oguz GurbulakLWxG 0.24 · xT 0.11
    • Omar ImeriRBxG 0.02 · xT 0.07

    Match prediction: Sarıyer – Batman Petrolspor

    Predicted score matrix

    Batman Petrolspor →
    Sarıyer →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–03.6%
    0–14.0%
    0–22.7%
    0–31.2%
    0–4+0.5%
    1
    1–06.8%
    1–19.3%
    1–25.8%
    1–32.5%
    1–4+1.0%
    2
    2–07.5%
    2–19.6%
    2–26.1%
    2–32.6%
    2–4+1.1%
    3
    3–05.3%
    3–16.8%
    3–24.3%
    3–31.9%
    3–4+0.8%
    4+
    4+–04.6%
    4+–15.9%
    4+–23.8%
    4+–31.6%
    4+–4+0.7%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.2-110%
    2. 2.1-19%
    3. 3.2-07%
    4. 4.1-07%
    5. 5.3-17%
    Expected goals
    2,12–1,28
    Both teams to score
    64%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,4
    Under 2,534%
    –
    Over 2,566%
    –

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Sarıyer to win48%
    • Over 1.5 goals86%

    Combined probability

    49%

    Fair odds

    2.03

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Sarıyer to win48%
    • Over 2.5 goals66%
    • Emeka Friday Eze to score32%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score64%
    • Over 2.5 goals66%
    • Emeka Friday Eze to score32%
    • Jin-Ho Jo to be booked21%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    No odds available yet.

    Statistics

    Key facts

    • Sariyer win 55% of their home matches all-time (20 played).
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Sarıyer
    Batman Petrolspor
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Sarıyer (3–1)
    Batman Petrolspor (4–2)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Sarıyer
    Marcos Silva: 81 passningar, xT 0SilvaCaner Osmanpasa: 78 passningar, xT 0.06OsmanpasaIbrahim Šehić: 77 passningar, xT 0.1ŠehićCebrail Karayel: 65 passningar, xT 0.17KarayelKaan Arslan: 64 passningar, xT 0.07ArslanEsref Korkmazoglu: 63 passningar, xT 0.23KorkmazogluJoseph Larweh Attamah: 53 passningar, xT 0.07AttamahEfecan Karaca: 47 passningar, xT 0.2KaracaBaris Alici: 43 passningar, xT 0.25AliciAndre Poko: 39 passningar, xT 0PokoDogan Can Davas: 25 passningar, xT -0.08Davas
    Batman Petrolspor
    Omar Imeri: 69 passningar, xT 0.12ImeriMatheus Dória Macedo: 63 passningar, xT 0.09MacedoKarahan Yasir Subasi: 59 passningar, xT 0.05SubasiCaglar Akbaba: 56 passningar, xT 0.1AkbabaOguz Gurbulak: 48 passningar, xT 0.23GurbulakJin-Ho Jo: 47 passningar, xT 0.11JoMickaël Christophe Biron: 38 passningar, xT 0.07BironDevran Bozardıç: 35 passningar, xT 0.03BozardıçMetehan Mert: 31 passningar, xT 0.03MertBernardo Martins de Sousa: 27 passningar, xT 0.24SousaEmirhan Aydoğan: 18 passningar, xT 0.01Aydoğan
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Sarıyer
    Marcos Silva: 81 passningar, xT 0SilvaCaner Osmanpasa: 78 passningar, xT 0.06OsmanpasaIbrahim Šehić: 77 passningar, xT 0.1ŠehićCebrail Karayel: 65 passningar, xT 0.17KarayelKaan Arslan: 64 passningar, xT 0.07ArslanEsref Korkmazoglu: 63 passningar, xT 0.23KorkmazogluJoseph Larweh Attamah: 53 passningar, xT 0.07AttamahEfecan Karaca: 47 passningar, xT 0.2KaracaBaris Alici: 43 passningar, xT 0.25AliciAndre Poko: 39 passningar, xT 0PokoDogan Can Davas: 25 passningar, xT -0.08Davas
    Batman Petrolspor
    Omar Imeri: 69 passningar, xT 0.12ImeriMatheus Dória Macedo: 63 passningar, xT 0.09MacedoKarahan Yasir Subasi: 59 passningar, xT 0.05SubasiCaglar Akbaba: 56 passningar, xT 0.1AkbabaOguz Gurbulak: 48 passningar, xT 0.23GurbulakJin-Ho Jo: 47 passningar, xT 0.11JoMickaël Christophe Biron: 38 passningar, xT 0.07BironDevran Bozardıç: 35 passningar, xT 0.03BozardıçMetehan Mert: 31 passningar, xT 0.03MertBernardo Martins de Sousa: 27 passningar, xT 0.24SousaEmirhan Aydoğan: 18 passningar, xT 0.01Aydoğan

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceSarıyerBatman Petrolspor
    Points44
    xPoints3.34.8
    xG per match0.982.1
    xGA per match0.990.84
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.10.17
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.380.21
    Playing styleSarıyerBatman Petrolspor
    Build-up efficiency0.330.23
    Field tilt0.30.38
    xT per match0.650.91
    xTA per match1.31
    Won balls, offensive half1818
    Pressing intensity0.260.22
    Pressing efficiency0.240.29
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.090.28
    Entries into the box per match109
    Entries into the box against1413
    Pass completion %0.760.75
    Pass completion % under pressure0.670.66
    Passes per match341276
    Passes against per match425309
    Switches of play per match29.219.6
    Long balls per match3742
    Set piecesSarıyerBatman Petrolspor
    xG from free kicks0.020.03
    Corners per match44.9
    Corners against per match3.52.5
    xG per corner00.01
    xGA per corner against0.010
    First touch, offensive corners %0.50.1
    First touch, defensive corners %0.430.8
    OtherSarıyerBatman Petrolspor
    Throw-in control0.620.78
    The goalkeepersIbrahim Šehić (Sarıyer)Caglar Akbaba (Batman Petrolspor)
    Saves39
    Save %75%82%
    xG prevented77%82%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Sarıyer vs Batman Petrolspor according to our model?

    The model gives Sarıyer a 48% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Sarıyer 48%, draw 18%, Batman Petrolspor 33%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 2-1 at 10% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 66% and under at 34%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 64% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.