Turkish 1. Lig: Predictions, Odds & Tips

    Läs på svenska

    Model-based predictions for Turkish 1. Lig — every fixture in the Turkish 1. Lig is analysed by the same match model that powers PlaymakerAI. Ahead of each round the model computes 1X2 probabilities, a full score matrix, expected goals and over/under lines.

    The predictions are held against live odds, with positive expected value (EV+) flagged where the model's probability beats the implied odds. Played matches are graded openly — hit or miss.

    Upcoming matches

    Soft drawOdds on the move
    BA
    Batman Petrolspor
    vs
    BursasporBursaspor
    1 33%X 31%2 36%
    Odds on the move
    SarıyerSarıyer
    vs
    BolusporBoluspor
    1 66%X 20%2 14%
    Odds on the move
    Ankara KeçiörengücüAnkara Keçiörengücü
    vs
    SivassporSivasspor
    1 57%X 24%2 19%
    Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
    vs
    Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük
    1 52%X 25%2 22%
    AntalyasporAntalyaspor
    vs
    VansporVanspor
    1 56%X 24%2 20%
    MA
    Mardin 1969
    vs
    KayserisporKayserispor
    1 38%X 33%2 29%
    Manisa FKManisa FK
    vs
    IstanbulsporIstanbulspor
    1 54%X 24%2 22%
    PendiksporPendikspor
    vs
    BodrumsporBodrumspor
    1 45%X 28%2 27%

    League table2026/27

    PosTeamPSW–D–LGF–GAxPxGxGAxGDFTStyle
    1Kayserispor1986–1–116–314,515,56,3+9,263 %Possession & high press
    2Batman Petrolspor1986–1–116–1112,713,810,1+3,750 %Possession control
    3Bursaspor1675–1–114–611,711,36,4+4,965 %Possession & high press
    4Iğdır1685–1–212–712,09,610,2−0,647 %Possession control
    5Mardin 19691383–4–110–514,612,76,5+6,252 %Possession control
    6Ankara Keçiörengücü1273–3–116–912,711,88,5+3,343 %Possession control
    7Manisa FK1283–3–216–1211,611,810,5+1,346 %Possession control
    8Sarıyer1173–2–29–811,39,57,7+1,848 %Possession control
    9Muğlaspor1182–5–18–710,39,79,5+0,247 %Possession control
    10Bandırmaspor1082–4–212–59,810,89,0+1,867 %Possession control
    11Fatih Karagümrük972–3–210–119,99,99,4+0,554 %Possession & high press
    12Antalyaspor973–0–411–137,57,69,6−2,061 %Possession & high press
    13Pendikspor972–3–29–129,27,57,1+0,454 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    14Bodrumspor771–4–26–56,24,49,2−4,837 %Possession control
    15Sivasspor771–4–28–109,49,111,6−2,546 %Possession control
    16Ümraniyespor681–3–46–911,06,99,0−2,144 %Low block & direct
    17Vanspor672–4–68–148,98,411,1−2,742 %Possession control
    18Esenler Erokspor570–5–24–87,37,37,5−0,267 %Possession & high press
    19Vanspor452–4–65–115,03,69,2−5,631 %Possession control
    20Istanbulspor280–2–68–229,48,612,8−4,240 %Possession control
    21Boluspor170–1–62–186,45,113,7−8,632 %Low block & direct

    Latest articles

    All articles
    This week's upsets with value 15/8

    2026-08-15 · 3 min

    This week's upsets with value 15/8

    The article presents five matches where the odds do not reflect the underlying statistics, such as field tilt, expected threat and expected goals, which creates valuable betting opportunities. Among the examples highlighted are Brondby–Sonderjyske, where Sonderjyske's counter-attacking threat is underestimated despite Brondby's ball possession, as well as Karagumruk–Umraniyespor, where Umraniyespor's pitch dominance favors an away win.

    Player Profile: Florent Hasani (Boluspor)

    2026-04-25 · 1 min

    Player Profile: Florent Hasani (Boluspor)

    Florent Hasani from Boluspor is a productive striker in the Turkish second division with impressive 0.78 goals per match and strong technical ability, including 3.69 shots per match and quality progressive passes. His main area for development is assist production which stands at only 0.17 per match despite his creative capacity and passing quality.

    League Pulse: Turkish 1. Lig, 2025

    2026-04-09 · 1 min

    League Pulse: Turkish 1. Lig, 2025

    Amed and Erzurumspor FK solidify their positions at the top of Turkish 1. Lig while Hatayspor and Adana Demirspor continue to sink towards the bottom. Adana Demirspor has conceded a total of 146 goals this season, which is the league's worst defensive record with an xGA of 3.12 per match.

    Played matches

    Prediction track record
    BandırmasporBandırmaspor
    0–1
    ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
    1 59%X 23%2 18%
    The model missed the outcome
    MU
    Muğlaspor
    2–2
    IğdırIğdır
    1 36%X 30%2 34%
    The model missed the outcome
    Fatih KaragümrükFatih Karagümrük
    1–1
    Manisa FKManisa FK
    1 44%X 25%2 31%
    The model missed the outcome
    SivassporSivasspor
    1–1
    Muğlaspor
    MU
    1 44%X 28%2 29%
    The model missed the outcome
    BursasporBursaspor
    2–2
    Esenler EroksporEsenler Erokspor
    1 39%X 30%2 31%
    The model missed the outcome
    KayserisporKayserispor
    4–0
    IstanbulsporIstanbulspor
    1 66%X 19%2 15%
    The model called the outcome
    IğdırIğdır
    1–0
    Mardin 1969
    MA
    1 38%X 29%2 33%
    The model called the outcome
    ÜmraniyesporÜmraniyespor
    1–2
    AntalyasporAntalyaspor
    1 42%X 25%2 33%
    The model missed the outcome
    BolusporBoluspor
    1–1
    PendiksporPendikspor
    1 23%X 24%2 54%
    The model missed the outcome
    BodrumsporBodrumspor
    4–0
    Batman Petrolspor
    BA
    1 38%X 28%2 35%
    The model called the outcome
    VansporVanspor
    1–1
    Ankara KeçiörengücüAnkara Keçiörengücü
    1 22%X 23%2 55%
    The model missed the outcome
    SarıyerSarıyer
    1–1
    BandırmasporBandırmaspor
    1 40%X 29%2 31%
    The model missed the outcome

    How the predictions work

    Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.

    For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.

    Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.

    Turkish 1. Lig FAQ

    Where do I find Turkish 1. Lig predictions?

    Right here: every match in the Turkish 1. Lig has its own analysis with 1X2 probabilities, most likely scoreline, over/under and value against current odds. Pick a match from the upcoming list — predictions are refreshed before every round and graded openly afterwards.

    How are the Turkish 1. Lig predictions made?

    Each match is replayed thousands of times in the model using hundreds of metrics per team — expected goals, pressing, expected threat, field tilt, form and squad. The output is a probability for every scoreline, which is then compared with bookmaker odds to find value.

    What is the xP table?

    xP means expected points: how many points each team should have taken given the quality of chances created and conceded. The gap between xP and the real table shows which the Turkish 1. Lig teams are over- and underrated right now.

    Which teams play in Turkish 1. Lig 2026/27?

    Turkish 1. Lig 2026/27 has 21 teams: Kayserispor, Batman Petrolspor, Bursaspor, Iğdır, Mardin 1969, Ankara Keçiörengücü, Manisa FK, Sarıyer, Muğlaspor, Bandırmaspor, Fatih Karagümrük, Antalyaspor, Pendikspor, Bodrumspor, Sivasspor, Ümraniyespor, Vanspor, Esenler Erokspor, Vanspor, Istanbulspor, Boluspor.

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.