Bodrumspor vs Batman Petrolspor: Prediction & Odds (12 Sept 2026)

Turkish 1. Lig12 September 202627°12 km/h

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BodrumsporPossession control

4–0

Batman PetrolsporPossession control

The model's lean: 1 · Bodrumspor (38%)

1 · Bodrumspor 38%X 28%35% Batman Petrolspor · 2

38%

28%

35%

Analysis: Bodrumspor – Batman Petrolspor

Sofia Andersson · 12 September 2026 · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work

Bodrumspor's recent struggles in front of goal are glaring, with an xG of just 0.62 per match. This inefficiency in attack could prove costly against Batman Petrolspor, who arrive with momentum on their side, backed by five consecutive wins and a more robust xG of 1.8 per match. The visitors are not just riding high on points but also in their expected performance metrics, showing a clear edge over the hosts in this regard.

However, Bodrumspor's defensive organization might offer a glimmer of hope. Their xGA of 1.2 per match, slightly superior to Batman Petrolspor's 1.4, indicates they might manage to keep the visitors' attacking threats at bay. The model's probabilities reflect a tight contest, giving Bodrumspor a slight edge at 38% over Batman Petrolspor's 35%, with the draw at 28%. Even the most likely scorelines—1-1 (13%), followed by 1-0 (10%) and 0-1 (9%)—hint at a match that could easily tip in either direction.

The statistical battle suggests a closely fought encounter, with both teams mirroring each other's possession-based style. Yet, the undercurrent of Bodrumspor's value proposition cannot be overlooked. With a 38% probability of winning and odds of 2.94 at Betsafe, Betsson, and Nordicbet, there's an 11% value edge for backing the hosts. While this doesn't guarantee success, it presents a compelling case for those willing to take a calculated risk.

Leaning towards a moderate-scoring affair, the model puts over 2.5 goals at 48%, with both teams to score at a marginally higher 53%. Given the teams' profiles, a cautious 1-1 draw feels like the sensible call. Yet, punters seeking an edge might find Bodrumspor's home odds too tempting to ignore.

Bodrumspor

Form DDDDL

League ranking xG #20xGA #9xT #17xP/match #19Points #16

Key players

Ali AytemurCBxG 0.01 · xT 0.10
Ali HabeşoğluLWxG 0.22 · xT 0.02
Ege ArslanFxG 0.05 · xT 0.09

Batman Petrolspor

Form WWWWW

League ranking xG #1xGA #15xT #6xP/match #4Points #1

Key players

Pedro Henrique Oliveira dos SantosFxG 0.67 · xT 0.06
Polat YaldırRWxG 0.15 · xT 0.10
Sergio Duvan Córdova LezamaFxG 0.74 · xT 0.08

Final score

4 – 0

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Bodrumspor 38% · Draw 28% · Batman Petrolspor 35%

How the bookmaker bet builders went

The verdict on the pre-built bet builders for this match, priced against the model’s score matrix before kickoff. Graded on the 90-minute result.

Matchresultat - Batman PetrolsporBåda lagen gör mål - JaTotalt antal mål - Över 3.5

odds 8,58fair 12,44-31 %

Miss

Match prediction: Bodrumspor – Batman Petrolspor

Predicted score matrix

Batman Petrolspor →

Bodrumspor →

0–07.7%

0–18.8%

0–25.7%

0–32.4%

0–4+1.0%

1–09.7%

1–112.9%

1–27.8%

1–33.2%

1–4+1.3%

2–06.9%

2–18.5%

2–25.3%

2–32.2%

2–4+0.9%

3–03.1%

3–13.9%

3–22.4%

3–31.0%

3–4+0.4%

4+–01.4%

4+–11.8%

4+–21.1%

4+–30.5%

4+–4+0.2%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-113%
2.1-010%
3.0-19%
4.2-19%
5.1-28%

Expected goals

1,36–1,24

Both teams to score

53%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,6

08%

119%

225%

322%

414%

5+12%

Under 2,552%

@1.78

Over 2,548%

@1.90

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance Bodrumspor or draw (1X)66%
Under 3.5 goals73%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Double chance Bodrumspor or draw (1X)66%
Under 2.5 goals52%
Ali Habeşoğlu to score22%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score53%
Over 2.5 goals48%
Sergio Duvan Córdova Lezama to score26%
Jin-Ho Jo to be booked25%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Bodrumspor38% probability@2.95BetsafeEV+11%reference odds
1 · Bodrumspor38% probability@2.95BetssonEV+11%reference odds
1 · Bodrumspor38% probability@2.95NordicbetEV+11%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Bodrumspor	X	2 · Batman Petrolspor
Betsafe	EV+ 11% 2.95	3.20	2.27
Betsson	EV+ 11% 2.95	3.20	2.27
Nordicbet	EV+ 11% 2.95	3.20	2.27

Odds updated 12 Sept, 16:37

Odds movement

Market signal

The market has moved clearly towards an Batman Petrolspor win since 8 September — the odds have shortened from 2.63 to 2.27 (−14%).

1+17 %

38 %28 %

2.53 → 2.95

X+2 %

32 %22 %

3.15 → 3.20

2-14 %

43 %33 %

2.63 → 2.27

Over 2,5-5 %

52 %42 %

2.00 → 1.90

Betsson · 14 recorded price levels · 08/09/2026 → 12/09/2026 · fixed scale 10 percentage points

Statistics

Key facts

Batman Petrolspor come into this round on 5 straight wins.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Bodrumspor

Batman Petrolspor

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Bodrumspor (2–5)

Batman Petrolspor (14–7)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Bodrumspor

Batman Petrolspor

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Bodrumspor

Batman Petrolspor

The teams in numbers

Performance	Bodrumspor	Batman Petrolspor
Points	4	16
xPoints	5.5	9.8
xG per match	0.62	1.8
xGA per match	1.2	1.4
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.13	0.35
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.12	0.39

Playing style	Bodrumspor	Batman Petrolspor
Build-up efficiency	0.31	0.3
Field tilt	0.38	0.45
xT per match	0.82	1.1
xTA per match	1.2	1.3
Won balls, offensive half	22	21
Pressing intensity	0.23	0.22
Pressing efficiency	0.27	0.3
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.19	0.28
Entries into the box per match	11	11
Entries into the box against	13	12
Pass completion %	0.74	0.75
Pass completion % under pressure	0.71	0.68
Passes per match	325	306
Passes against per match	355	300
Switches of play per match	27.1	24
Long balls per match	44	41

Set pieces	Bodrumspor	Batman Petrolspor
xG from free kicks	0.03	0.04
Corners per match	4.5	4.1
Corners against per match	3.9	3.9
xG per corner	0	0.02
xGA per corner against	0.02	0.05
First touch, offensive corners %	0.3	0.32
First touch, defensive corners %	0.45	0.67

Other	Bodrumspor	Batman Petrolspor
Throw-in control	0.7	0.68

The goalkeepers	Diogo Fesnard Nogueira Sousa (Bodrumspor)	Caglar Akbaba (Batman Petrolspor)
Saves	22	22
Save %	82%	76%
xG prevented	77%	48%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Bodrumspor

Fixtures, form & tips

Batman Petrolspor

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Bodrumspor vs Batman Petrolspor according to our model?

The model gives Bodrumspor a 38% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Bodrumspor 38%, draw 28%, Batman Petrolspor 35%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 48% and under at 52%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.