Zulte Waregem vs Beveren: Prediction & Odds (22 Aug 2026)

Belgian Pro League22 August 2026Regenboogstadion, Waregem15°2,0 mm13 km/h

Zulte WaregemPossession control

BeverenBalanced & physical

The model's lean: 2 · Beveren (45%)

Limited data — The model has thin or uncertain data for this match — the forecast may be unreliable and the match is excluded from our value lists.

1 · Zulte Waregem 28%X 27%45% Beveren · 2

28%

27%

45%

Analysis: Zulte Waregem – Beveren

Erik Lindberg · 17 August 2026 · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

SK Beveren enters this clash with a 45% winning probability, but don't let that fool you into thinking it's a walkover. Zulte Waregem is on a resilient nine-match unbeaten streak in the league, a testament to their fortitude and strategic possession play. The numbers tilt slightly towards Beveren's favour, but there's a delicious tension between model expectations and Zulte's recent history of bending but not breaking.

Zulte Waregem emerges from the statistical shadows with an edge in both points and expected metrics. They've secured 4 points to Beveren's 3 and boast a superior xPoints tally of 3.1 against Beveren's 1.8. Their defensive solidity is evident, conceding an xGA of just 0.86 per match, significantly better than Beveren's porous 2.3. Yet, the expected goals across this fixture nudge slightly higher for Beveren at 1.58 compared to Zulte's 1.27, suggesting the visitors might exploit their physical edge to create more scoring chances.

Zulte Waregem, with their control-oriented style, might find the going tough against Beveren's balanced, physical approach. While Zulte's xG per match sits at 0.94, their unbeaten streak suggests they are adept at converting fewer chances into decisive moments. With the most likely scorelines of 1-1 and 0-1 hovering in the 9% range, and a slightly higher chance for a 1-2 at 9%, the match could swing on fine margins.

The over 2.5 goals line sits at 54%, hinting at an open encounter, but with Zulte's defensive acumen and Beveren's inconsistency, there's a case for the under if the weather plays its part. Yet, with a 57% chance for both teams to score, the smart money might see value in a tight, goal-shy contest, with the draw holding a tantalizing 27% probability.

Highlighting the sharpest angle, SK Beveren to win at 2.10 with a bookmaker presents value, given their higher probability. But with Zulte's unbeaten streak in mind, punters might find comfort in betting on a close-run affair—perhaps leaning towards a 1-1 draw as a safer hedge.

Zulte Waregem

Form WWWWD

League ranking xG #15xGA #6xT #15xP/match #8Points #6

Key players

Anosike EmentaFxG 0.26 · xT 0.12
Tobias HedlFxG 0.21 · xT 0.08
Laurent LemoineCBxG 0.13 · xT 0.05

Beveren

Form LW

League ranking xG #16xGA #14xT #13xP/match #16Points #9

Key players

Chris-Emmanuel Dikwama LokesaLWxG 0.05 · xT 0.04
Laurent JansRWBxG 0.00 · xT 0.18
Christian BrülsCAMxG 0.21 · xT 0.19

Match prediction: Zulte Waregem – Beveren

Predicted score matrix

Beveren →

Zulte Waregem →

0–06.1%

0–18.8%

0–27.3%

0–33.8%

0–4+2.2%

1–07.0%

1–111.9%

1–29.2%

1–34.8%

1–4+2.7%

2–04.6%

2–17.3%

2–25.8%

2–33.1%

2–4+1.7%

3–02.0%

3–13.1%

3–22.5%

3–31.3%

3–4+0.7%

4+–00.8%

4+–11.3%

4+–21.0%

4+–30.5%

4+–4+0.3%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.1-29%
3.0-19%
4.2-17%
5.0-27%

Expected goals

1,27–1,58

Both teams to score

57%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,8

116%

224%

322%

416%

5+16%

Under 2,546%

@1.94

Over 2,554%

@1.83

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Beveren to win45%
Over 1.5 goals78%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Beveren to win45%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Lennart Mertens to score23%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score57%
Over 2.5 goals54%
Anosike Victor Ementa to score23%
Serxho Ujka to be booked24%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Beveren45% probability@3.40BetsafeEV+54%reference odds
2 · Beveren45% probability@3.40BetssonEV+54%reference odds
2 · Beveren45% probability@3.40NordicbetEV+54%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Zulte Waregem	X	2 · Beveren
Betsafe	2.05	3.45	EV+ 54% 3.40
Betsson	2.05	3.45	EV+ 54% 3.40
Nordicbet	2.05	3.45	EV+ 54% 3.40

Odds updated 19 Aug, 15:36

Odds movement

Market signal

The market has moved clearly towards an Beveren win since 17 August — the odds have shortened from 3.90 to 3.40 (−13%).

1+7 %

50 %45 %

1.92 → 2.05

X0 %

30 %25 %

3.45 → 3.45

2-13 %

28 %23 %

3.90 → 3.40

Over 2,5-4 %

53 %48 %

1.90 → 1.83

Betsson · 12 recorded price levels · 17/08/2026 → 19/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Key facts

Zulte Waregem are unbeaten in their last 9 league matches.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Zulte Waregem

Beveren

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Zulte Waregem (2–1)

Beveren (2–2)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Zulte Waregem

Beveren

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Zulte Waregem

Beveren

The teams in numbers

Performance	Zulte Waregem	Beveren
Points	4	3
xPoints	3.1	1.8
xG per match	0.94	0.74
xGA per match	0.86	2.3
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.15	0.07
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.06	0.19

Playing style	Zulte Waregem	Beveren
Build-up efficiency	0.34	0.31
Field tilt	0.36	0.32
xT per match	0.63	0.67
xTA per match	1.3	2.1
Won balls, offensive half	28	30
Pressing intensity	0.24	0.26
Pressing efficiency	0.2	0.27
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.12	0.21
Entries into the box per match	12	12
Entries into the box against	13	24
Pass completion %	0.7	0.72
Pass completion % under pressure	0.63	0.69
Passes per match	237	343
Passes against per match	499	441
Switches of play per match	15.4	23.7
Long balls per match	28	38

Set pieces	Zulte Waregem	Beveren
xG from free kicks	0.29	0.03
Corners per match	4.5	2
Corners against per match	6	8.6
xG per corner	0.01	0.04
xGA per corner against	0.01	0.03
First touch, offensive corners %	0.44	0.5
First touch, defensive corners %	0.58	0.38

Other	Zulte Waregem	Beveren
Throw-in control	0.73	0.73

The goalkeepers	Louis Bostyn (Zulte Waregem)	Johannes Schenk (Beveren)
Saves	5	13
Save %	83%	87%
xG prevented	83%	36%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Zulte Waregem vs Beveren according to our model?

The model gives Beveren a 45% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Zulte Waregem 28%, draw 27%, Beveren 45%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 54% and under at 46%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.