01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Hajduk Split to win65%
- Over 1.5 goals80%
Croatian HNL31°19 km/h
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Hajduk Split2–2
Istra 1961The model's lean: 1 · Hajduk Split (65%)Best value by the model: X · Draw @ 4.86 (+3 %)
Hajduk Split – Istra 1961 · Croatian HNL
1 · Hajduk Split 65%X 21%14% Istra 1961 · 2
65%
21%
14%
Final score
2 – 2
The model missed the outcome
Predicted probabilities: Hajduk Split 65% · Draw 21% · Istra 1961 14%
Match prediction: Hajduk Split – Istra 1961
Predicted score matrix
Istra 1961 →
Hajduk Split →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.2%
0–14.1%
0–21.9%
0–30.5%
0–4+0.1%
1
1–010.4%
1–19.5%
1–24.0%
1–31.1%
1–4+0.3%
2
2–011.4%
2–19.8%
2–24.2%
2–31.2%
2–4+0.3%
3
3–08.1%
3–17.0%
3–23.0%
3–30.9%
3–4+0.2%
4+
4+–07.1%
4+–16.1%
4+–22.6%
4+–30.8%
4+–4+0.2%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.2-011%
- 2.1-010%
- 3.2-110%
- 4.1-19%
- 5.3-08%
Expected goals
2,13–0,86
Both teams to score
51%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
114%
223%
322%
417%
5+18%
Under 2,542%
@2.26
Over 2,558%
@1.63
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 2 legs
Balanced
- Hajduk Split to win65%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
03 · 2 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score51%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- X · Draw21% probability@4.86PinnacleEV+3%
- 2 · Istra 196114% probability@7.06PinnacleEV+0%
| Bookmaker | 1 · Hajduk Split | X | 2 · Istra 1961 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Pinnacle | 1.39 | EV+ 3% 4.86 | EV+ 0% 7.06 |
Odds updated 9 Aug, 04:50
Odds movement
10 %
69 %64 %
1.38 → 1.39
X+2 %
22 %17 %
4.75 → 4.86
2+3 %
16 %11 %
6.86 → 7.06
Over 2,5-2 %
60 %55 %
1.67 → 1.63
Pinnacle · 5 recorded price levels · 03/08/2026 → 09/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Hajduk Split vs Istra 1961 according to our model?
The model gives Hajduk Split a 65% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Hajduk Split 65%, draw 21%, Istra 1961 14%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 2-0 at 11% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 51% according to the model.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.