Croatian HNL25°13 km/h

    Läs på svenska
    GoricaGorica
    1–2
    Hajduk SplitHajduk Split
    The model's lean: 2 · Hajduk Split (58%)

    Gorica – Hajduk Split · Croatian HNL

    1 · Gorica 19%X 23%58% Hajduk Split · 2
    Final score
    1 – 2
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Gorica 19% · Draw 23% · Hajduk Split 58%

    Match prediction: Gorica – Hajduk Split

    Predicted score matrix

    Hajduk Split →
    Gorica →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–07.7%
    0–112.1%
    0–210.5%
    0–35.9%
    0–4+3.6%
    1
    1–06.5%
    1–111.8%
    1–29.7%
    1–35.4%
    1–4+3.3%
    2
    2–03.1%
    2–15.3%
    2–24.4%
    2–32.5%
    2–4+1.5%
    3
    3–01.0%
    3–11.6%
    3–21.4%
    3–30.8%
    3–4+0.5%
    4+
    4+–00.3%
    4+–10.4%
    4+–20.4%
    4+–30.2%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.0-112%
    2. 2.1-112%
    3. 3.0-211%
    4. 4.1-210%
    5. 5.0-08%
    Expected goals
    0,92–1,69
    Both teams to score
    49%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,6
    Under 2,552%
    @1.89
    Over 2,548%
    @1.89

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Hajduk Split to win58%
    • Under 3.5 goals73%

    Combined probability

    38%

    Fair odds

    2.62

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Hajduk Split to win58%
    • Under 2.5 goals52%

    Combined probability

    23%

    Fair odds

    4.42

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score49%
    • Over 2.5 goals48%

    Combined probability

    38%

    Fair odds

    2.66

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 2 · Hajduk Split58% probability@1.81PinnacleEV+5%
    Bookmaker1 · GoricaX2 · Hajduk Split
    Pinnacle4.133.58
    EV+ 5%
    1.81

    Odds updated 15 Aug, 08:12

    Odds movement

    1+2 %
    25 %20 %

    4.05 → 4.13

    X+1 %
    29 %24 %

    3.56 → 3.58

    2-1 %
    53 %48 %

    1.83 → 1.81

    Over 2,50 %
    52 %47 %

    1.88 → 1.89

    Pinnacle · 4 recorded price levels · 10/08/2026 → 15/08/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Gorica vs Hajduk Split according to our model?

    The model gives Hajduk Split a 58% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Gorica 19%, draw 23%, Hajduk Split 58%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 0-1 at 12% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 48% and under at 52%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 49% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    GoricaGorica
    0–2
    OsijekOsijek
    1 31%X 29%2 39%
    The model called the outcome
    Istra 1961Istra 1961
    2–3
    Lokomotiva ZagrebLokomotiva Zagreb
    1 33%X 30%2 37%
    The model called the outcome
    Dinamo ZagrebDinamo Zagreb
    2–0
    Slaven BelupoSlaven Belupo
    1 75%X 15%2 10%
    The model called the outcome

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.