Croatian HNL27°13 km/h

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    Rudeš
    1–6
    OsijekOsijek
    The model's lean: 2 · Osijek (69%)Best value by the model: Over 4,5 @ 8.20 (+170 %)

    Rudeš – Osijek · Croatian HNL

    1 · Rudeš 12%X 19%69% Osijek · 2
    Final score
    1 – 6
    The model called the outcome
    Predicted probabilities: Rudeš 12% · Draw 19% · Osijek 69%

    Match prediction: Rudeš – Osijek

    Predicted score matrix

    Osijek →
    Rudeš →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–02.4%
    0–16.3%
    0–29.2%
    0–38.8%
    0–4+12.6%
    1
    1–02.0%
    1–16.2%
    1–28.6%
    1–38.2%
    1–4+11.7%
    2
    2–01.0%
    2–12.8%
    2–24.0%
    2–33.8%
    2–4+5.5%
    3
    3–00.3%
    3–10.9%
    3–21.2%
    3–31.2%
    3–4+1.7%
    4+
    4+–00.1%
    4+–10.2%
    4+–20.4%
    4+–30.3%
    4+–4+0.5%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.0-29%
    2. 2.0-39%
    3. 3.1-29%
    4. 4.1-38%
    5. 5.0-16%
    Expected goals
    0,93–2,85
    Both teams to score
    57%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,8
    Under 2,527%
    @1.85
    Over 2,573%
    @2.04EV+49%

    Ready-made bet suggestions

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Osijek to win69%
    • Over 1.5 goals89%

    Combined probability

    70%

    Fair odds

    1.43

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 2 legs

    Balanced

    • Osijek to win69%
    • Over 2.5 goals73%

    Combined probability

    61%

    Fair odds

    1.64

    Result and goals are priced jointly from the matrix; the scorer is the model's most likely in the picked side.

    03 · 2 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score57%
    • Over 2.5 goals73%

    Combined probability

    51%

    Fair odds

    1.96

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals — combined with the match's most likely scorer and card candidate.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • Over 4.533% probability@8.20Betfair ExchangeEV+170%
    • Over 2.573% probability@2.04Betfair ExchangeEV+49%
    • 2 · Osijek69% probability@1.96Betfair ExchangeEV+35%
    Bookmaker1 · RudešX2 · Osijek
    Betfair Exchange3.952.86
    EV+ 35%
    1.96

    Odds updated 8 Aug, 10:08

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Rudeš vs Osijek according to our model?

    The model gives Osijek a 69% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Rudeš 12%, draw 19%, Osijek 69%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 0-2 at 9% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 73% and under at 27%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 57% according to the model.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.