Coventry City vs Brighton & Hove Albion: Prediction & Odds (12 Sept 2026)

Premier League12 September 2026Coventry Building Society Arena, Coventry16°5,0 mm19 km/h

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Coventry City

Brighton & Hove Albion

The model's lean: 2 · Brighton & Hove Albion (51%)Best value by the model: 1 · Coventry City @ 4.37 (+18 %)

1 · Coventry City 27%X 22%51% Brighton & Hove Albion · 2

27%

22%

51%

Analysis coming shortly

The match analysis will be published shortly — the model's prediction and the odds above keep updating until kickoff.

Match prediction: Coventry City – Brighton & Hove Albion

Predicted score matrix

Brighton & Hove Albion →

Coventry City →

0–05.2%

0–18.0%

0–27.1%

0–34.0%

0–4+2.5%

1–06.1%

1–111.3%

1–29.3%

1–35.3%

1–4+3.3%

2–04.2%

2–17.2%

2–26.1%

2–33.5%

2–4+2.2%

3–01.8%

3–13.1%

3–22.7%

3–31.5%

3–4+1.0%

4+–00.8%

4+–11.4%

4+–21.2%

4+–30.7%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-111%
2.1-29%
3.0-18%
4.2-17%
5.0-27%

Expected goals

1,31–1,71

Both teams to score

60%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,0

114%

223%

322%

417%

5+19%

Under 2,542%

@2.05

Over 2,558%

@1.79EV+4%

Ready-made bet suggestions

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01 · 2 legs

Safe

Brighton & Hove Albion to win51%
Over 1.5 goals81%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Brighton & Hove Albion to win51%
Over 2.5 goals58%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score60%
Over 2.5 goals58%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

1 · Coventry City27% probability@4.37PinnacleEV+18%reference odds
1 · Coventry City27% probability@4.36BetssonEV+18%reference odds
1 · Coventry City27% probability@4.35BetsafeEV+17%reference odds

Bookmaker	1 · Coventry City	X	2 · Brighton & Hove Albion
Betsafe	EV+ 17% 4.35	3.70	1.80
Betsson	EV+ 18% 4.36	3.71	1.81
Nordicbet	EV+ 17% 4.35	3.70	1.80
Pinnacle	EV+ 18% 4.37	3.75	1.78

Odds updated 4 Sept, 05:38

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Coventry City vs Brighton & Hove Albion according to our model?

The model gives Brighton & Hove Albion a 51% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Coventry City 27%, draw 22%, Brighton & Hove Albion 51%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 60% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.