Greek Super League

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    LevadiakosLevadiakosLow block & direct
    vs
    VolosVolosCounter-attacks & crosses
    The model's lean: 1 · Levadiakos (45%)

    Levadiakos vs Volos · Greek Super League

    1 · Levadiakos 45%X 29%26% Volos · 2

    Prediction summary

    BetBuilders AI model prediction for Levadiakos vs Volos (Greek Super League, Saturday, 17 October 2026): Levadiakos win 45%, draw 29%, Volos win 26%. Expected goals (xG): Levadiakos 1.36, Volos 1.01. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 42%, both teams to score 48%. Double chance: Levadiakos or draw 74%, Volos or draw 55%. Prediction updated Friday, 9 October 2026.

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    Analysis: Levadiakos – Volos

    Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

    Levadiakos and Volos NPS clash with a backdrop of contrasting fortunes. The home side, Levadiakos, has historically dominated this fixture, winning seven of their last eight encounters. Yet, recent form paints a more nuanced picture. With Levadiakos securing just one point so far against Volos' two, the visitors hold a slight edge in the current standings. However, the expected points (xPoints) data suggests Levadiakos has been slightly more efficient, hinting that the tide might turn in their favor.

    The expected goals (xG) tell an intriguing tale. Levadiakos, despite their historical dominance, averages a lower xG per match at 0.7 compared to Volos' 0.99. Both teams concede an average of 1.5 goals per match, indicating defensive vulnerabilities. The model leans towards a Levadiakos victory with a probability of 45%, though the most likely scorelines hover around stalemates: 1-1 and 1-0. This suggests a match where goals may be scarce, yet any breakthrough could be decisive.

    Despite historical goal-fests averaging 3.9 goals per meeting, the current form and xG point towards a tighter affair. The over 2.5 goals probability stands at just 42%, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring matchup. Both teams to score is also a coin flip at 48%, reflecting a cautious outlook from both sides, likely prioritizing control over risk.

    From a betting perspective, the model's lean towards Levadiakos at 45% suggests some value in backing the hosts, particularly if bookmakers have underestimated their odds. Given the context, a 1-1 or narrow 1-0 victory for Levadiakos feels plausible. If you find Levadiakos priced above evens, it might be a prudent choice for those seeking a stable punt.

    LevadiakosLevadiakos
    Form LLLDL
    League ranking xG #13xGA #10xT #13xP/match #12Points #14
    Key players
    • Agustín José UrziFxG 0.08 · xT 0.01
    • Moses David CobnanLWxG 0.21 · xT 0.10
    • Panagiotis LiagasCBxG 0.00 · xT 0.09
    VolosVolos
    Form LDDLL
    League ranking xG #9xGA #9xT #5xP/match #13Points #12
    Key players
    • Maximiliano CombaFxG 0.12 · xT 0.04
    • Jorge Samuel Figueiredo FernandesFxG 0.14 · xT 0.09
    • Vasileios GrosdisCMxG 0.00 · xT 0.03

    Match prediction: Levadiakos – Volos

    Predicted score matrix

    Volos →
    Levadiakos →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–09.7%
    0–19.0%
    0–24.8%
    0–31.6%
    0–4+0.5%
    1
    1–012.4%
    1–113.2%
    1–26.5%
    1–32.2%
    1–4+0.7%
    2
    2–08.7%
    2–18.7%
    2–24.4%
    2–31.5%
    2–4+0.5%
    3
    3–03.9%
    3–14.0%
    3–22.0%
    3–30.7%
    3–4+0.2%
    4+
    4+–01.8%
    4+–11.8%
    4+–20.9%
    4+–30.3%
    4+–4+0.1%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-113%
    2. 2.1-012%
    3. 3.0-010%
    4. 4.0-19%
    5. 5.2-19%
    Expected goals
    1,36–1,01
    Both teams to score
    48%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 2,4
    Under 2,558%
    @1.25
    Over 2,542%
    @1.02

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    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Double chance Levadiakos or draw (1X)73%
    • Under 3.5 goals78%

    Combined probability

    57%

    Fair odds

    1.77

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Double chance Levadiakos or draw (1X)73%
    • Under 2.5 goals58%
    • Agustín José Urzi to score29%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score48%
    • Over 2.5 goals42%
    • Agustín José Urzi to score29%
    • Giannis Kargas to be booked21%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    Bookmaker1 · LevadiakosX2 · Volos
    Betfair Exchange1.121.131.12

    Odds updated 9 Oct, 07:05

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    8 matches
    Levadiakos 7Draw 0Volos 1
    Goals: 21–10 (⌀ 3,9)

    Head-to-head based on Greek Super League data since 2023.

    Key facts

    • Levadiakos dominate this fixture historically: 7 wins to 1 in 8 meetings.
    • A high-scoring fixture: 3.9 goals per meeting on average.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Levadiakos
    Volos
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Levadiakos (0–9)
    Volos (4–9)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Levadiakos
    Giannis Tsivelekidis: 216 passningar, xT 0.19TsivelekidisGiannis Kosti: 191 passningar, xT -0.06KostiPanagiotis Liagas: 166 passningar, xT 0.23LiagasAlexandru Grigoraş Pantea: 146 passningar, xT 0.67PanteaMarios Vichos: 125 passningar, xT 0.13VichosAgustín José Urzi: 88 passningar, xT 0.07UrziAdrian Gheorghe Șut: 73 passningar, xT 0.41ȘutGeorgios Nikas: 64 passningar, xT 0.16NikasGeorgios Kornezos: 56 passningar, xT 0.03KornezosNiv Eliasi: 49 passningar, xT 0.05EliasiPanagiotis Symelidis: 46 passningar, xT 0.08Symelidis
    Volos
    Giannis Kargas: 175 passningar, xT 0.5KargasHamza Mendyl: 115 passningar, xT 0.27MendylHatim Essaoubi: 110 passningar, xT 0.16EssaoubiGeorgios Mygas: 93 passningar, xT 0.35MygasMaximiliano Comba: 89 passningar, xT 0.14CombaLazaros Lamprou: 83 passningar, xT 0.42LamprouMatías Nahuel González: 82 passningar, xT 0.73GonzálezKeidi Bare: 80 passningar, xT 0.07BareVasileios Grosdis: 77 passningar, xT 0.04GrosdisJorge Samuel Figueiredo Fernandes: 75 passningar, xT 0.22FernandesMarios Siampanis: 72 passningar, xT 0.06Siampanis
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Levadiakos
    Giannis Tsivelekidis: 216 passningar, xT 0.19TsivelekidisGiannis Kosti: 191 passningar, xT -0.06KostiPanagiotis Liagas: 166 passningar, xT 0.23LiagasAlexandru Grigoraş Pantea: 146 passningar, xT 0.67PanteaMarios Vichos: 125 passningar, xT 0.13VichosAgustín José Urzi: 88 passningar, xT 0.07UrziAdrian Gheorghe Șut: 73 passningar, xT 0.41ȘutGeorgios Nikas: 64 passningar, xT 0.16NikasGeorgios Kornezos: 56 passningar, xT 0.03KornezosNiv Eliasi: 49 passningar, xT 0.05EliasiPanagiotis Symelidis: 46 passningar, xT 0.08Symelidis
    Volos
    Giannis Kargas: 175 passningar, xT 0.5KargasHamza Mendyl: 115 passningar, xT 0.27MendylHatim Essaoubi: 110 passningar, xT 0.16EssaoubiGeorgios Mygas: 93 passningar, xT 0.35MygasMaximiliano Comba: 89 passningar, xT 0.14CombaLazaros Lamprou: 83 passningar, xT 0.42LamprouMatías Nahuel González: 82 passningar, xT 0.73GonzálezKeidi Bare: 80 passningar, xT 0.07BareVasileios Grosdis: 77 passningar, xT 0.04GrosdisJorge Samuel Figueiredo Fernandes: 75 passningar, xT 0.22FernandesMarios Siampanis: 72 passningar, xT 0.06Siampanis

    The teams in numbers

    PerformanceLevadiakosVolos
    Points12
    xPoints5.35.2
    xG per match0.70.99
    xGA per match1.51.5
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.110.21
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.090.29
    Playing styleLevadiakosVolos
    Build-up efficiency0.310.29
    Field tilt0.380.52
    xT per match0.621.1
    xTA per match1.10.69
    Won balls, offensive half2721
    Pressing intensity0.250.23
    Pressing efficiency0.290.32
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.190.24
    Entries into the box per match99
    Entries into the box against1510
    Pass completion %0.730.72
    Pass completion % under pressure0.670.64
    Passes per match297265
    Passes against per match388317
    Switches of play per match28.821.2
    Long balls per match3527
    Set piecesLevadiakosVolos
    xG from free kicks0.050.16
    Corners per match4.51.9
    Corners against per match5.85.2
    xG per corner0.010.01
    xGA per corner against0.030.03
    First touch, offensive corners %0.320.4
    First touch, defensive corners %0.640.62
    OtherLevadiakosVolos
    Throw-in control0.70.68
    The goalkeepersNiv Eliasi (Levadiakos)Giannis Kargas (Volos)
    Saves74
    Save %58%100%
    xG prevented30%100%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Levadiakos vs Volos according to our model?

    The model gives Levadiakos a 45% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Levadiakos 45%, draw 29%, Volos 26%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 42% and under at 58%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 48% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in Levadiakos vs Volos?

    The model expects 1.36 goals (xG) for Levadiakos and 1.01 for Volos, 2.37 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    Levadiakos or draw (1X) 74%, Volos or draw (X2) 55% and no draw (12) 71%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

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    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.