Slovak Super League6°7 km/h

    Läs på svenska
    PodbrezováPodbrezováCounter-attacks & crosses
    vs
    Slovan BratislavaSlovan BratislavaPossession & high press
    The model's lean: 2 · Slovan Bratislava (49%)Best value by the model: 1 · Podbrezová @ 4.00 (+8 %)

    Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava · Slovak Super League

    1 · Podbrezová 27%X 24%49% Slovan Bratislava · 2

    Prediction summary

    BetBuilders AI model prediction for Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava (Slovak Super League, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Podbrezová win 27%, draw 24%, Slovan Bratislava win 49%. Expected goals (xG): Podbrezová 1.28, Slovan Bratislava 1.82. Most likely score: 1-1 (11%). Over 2.5 goals 60%, both teams to score 61%. Double chance: Podbrezová or draw 51%, Slovan Bratislava or draw 73%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.

    Bet on this match

    NordicbetVälkommen in i matchen! Skapa ett konto, gör en insättning och hämta ett gratisspel värt 100 kr plus 50 freespins på Pirots 4.Claim the bonus at Nordicbet
    BetsafeHämta ett 100 kr gratisspel + 50 freespins på Pirots 4 när du gör din första insättning hos Betsafe!Claim the bonus at Betsafe
    LeoVegas100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningenClaim the bonus at LeoVegas

    18+ · Gamble responsibly · stodlinjen.se · Affiliate links

    Analysis: Podbrezová – Slovan Bratislava

    Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work

    49% is enough to put Slovan Bratislava in front, not enough to make them glamorous. Podbrezová sit on 17 points to the visitors’ 21, while xPoints read 17.6 to 18.1. The cleaner split is at the back: 1.5 xGA per match for the hosts, 0.9 for Slovan. Possession and a high press should blunt the counter-attacks and crosses.

    The head-to-head since 2023 is brutal: nine meetings, nine Slovan wins, with Podbrezova at 0W, 0D and 9L. That is separate from current form, where Slovan are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches. The fixture has averaged 3.3 goals, yet the model’s single likeliest score is 1-1 at 11%, ahead of 1-2 at 10% and 0-1 at 8%. My result call is Slovan, 1-2. Over 2.5 has the lean at 60%, with both teams to score at 61%.

    Betsafe and Nordicbet offer the home side at 3.8; the model’s 27% rating makes that an assessed 3% EV+ edge, though it fights the match read. The steadier angle is Under 3.5 at 1.62 with Betsafe: modelled at 63% for a 1% EV+ edge. Trite, controlled, and paid accordingly.

    PodbrezováPodbrezová
    Form DWLLW
    League ranking xG #4xGA #6xT #3xP/match #5Points #5
    Key players
    • Jakub LukaCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.14
    • Peter KováčikRWxG 0.34 · xT 0.22
    • Rene Rantusa LamprehtCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.10
    Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava
    Form DWDWD
    League ranking xG #2xGA #1xT #1xP/match #2Points #4
    Key players
    • Kevin WimmerCBxG 0.11 · xT 0.39
    • Danylo IgnatenkoCDMxG 0.10 · xT 0.09
    • Cesar BlackmanRBxG 0.06 · xT 0.15

    Match prediction: Podbrezová – Slovan Bratislava

    Predicted score matrix

    Slovan Bratislava →
    Podbrezová →
    0
    1
    2
    3
    4+
    0
    0–04.8%
    0–17.9%
    0–27.5%
    0–34.5%
    0–4+3.1%
    1
    1–05.5%
    1–110.8%
    1–29.5%
    1–35.8%
    1–4+4.0%
    2
    2–03.7%
    2–16.7%
    2–26.1%
    2–33.7%
    2–4+2.5%
    3
    3–01.6%
    3–12.9%
    3–22.6%
    3–31.6%
    3–4+1.1%
    4+
    4+–00.7%
    4+–11.2%
    4+–21.1%
    4+–30.7%
    4+–4+0.5%
    Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

    Most likely scorelines

    1. 1.1-111%
    2. 2.1-210%
    3. 3.0-18%
    4. 4.0-27%
    5. 5.2-17%
    Expected goals
    1,28–1,82
    Both teams to score
    61%

    Over/under goals

    Expected goals: 3,1
    Under 2,540%
    @2.60EV+5%
    Over 2,560%
    @1.48

    Ready-made bet suggestions

    More combos & build your own →

    01 · 2 legs

    Safe

    • Slovan Bratislava to win49%
    • Over 1.5 goals82%

    Combined probability

    42%

    Fair odds

    2.40

    Two legs pulling the same way — the probability is computed exactly from the score matrix, not multiplied.

    02 · 3 legs

    Balanced

    • Slovan Bratislava to win49%
    • Over 2.5 goals60%
    • Alen Mustafić to score24%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The whole slip is priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches — the scorer interacts with result and total goals, never naive multiplication.

    03 · 4 legs

    Bold

    • Both teams to score61%
    • Over 2.5 goals60%
    • Alen Mustafić to score24%
    • Rene Rantusa Lampreht to be booked21%

    Combined probability

    –

    Fair odds

    –

    The goal-fest: both teams score with at least three goals, plus the match's most likely scorer and card candidate — all priced jointly via 20,000 simulated matches.

    Odds & value

    The model's value spots

    Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

    • 1 · Podbrezová27% probability@4.00Bet365EV+8%reference odds
    • Under 2.540% probability@2.60Bet365EV+5%reference odds
    • Under 3.563% probability@1.67Bet365EV+4%reference odds
    Bookmaker1 · PodbrezováX2 · Slovan Bratislava
    Bet365
    EV+ 8%
    4.00    		4.101.63
    Betsafe
    EV+ 3%
    3.80    		3.951.72
    Nordicbet
    EV+ 3%
    3.80    		3.951.72

    Odds updated 26 Oct, 17:01

    Statistics

    Head-to-head

    9 matches
    Podbrezová 0Draw 0Slovan Bratislava 9
    Goals: 6–24 (⌀ 3,3)

    Head-to-head based on Slovak Super League data since 2023.

    Key facts

    • Slovan Bratislava dominate this fixture historically: 9 wins to 0 in 9 meetings.
    • A high-scoring fixture: 3.3 goals per meeting on average.
    • Slovan Bratislava are unbeaten in their last 5 league matches.
    xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

    Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

    Podbrezová
    Slovan Bratislava
    When goals are scored and conceded — 2026
    Podbrezová (18–21)
    Slovan Bratislava (26–12)
    Pass networks

    Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

    Podbrezová
    Jakub Luka: 244 passningar, xT 0.75LukaRene Rantusa Lampreht: 229 passningar, xT 0.62LamprehtPeter Kováčik: 159 passningar, xT 0.71KováčikSamuel Stefanik: 134 passningar, xT 0.63StefanikRene Paraj: 126 passningar, xT 0.37ParajLukáš Domaniský: 125 passningar, xT 0.25DomaniskýMartin Chrien: 96 passningar, xT 1.16ChrienVincent Chyla: 93 passningar, xT 0ChylaRadek Kejval: 87 passningar, xT 0.23KejvalOndrej Deml: 83 passningar, xT 1.34DemlJan Krivak: 76 passningar, xT 0.04Krivak
    Slovan Bratislava
    Svetozar Marković: 306 passningar, xT 0.28MarkovićKenan Bajric: 236 passningar, xT 0.54BajricPeter Pokorny: 225 passningar, xT 0.27PokornyCesar Blackman: 196 passningar, xT 0.22BlackmanSandro Cruz: 174 passningar, xT 0.61CruzKevin Wimmer: 118 passningar, xT 0.93WimmerDominik Takáč: 115 passningar, xT 0.04TakáčTigran Barseghyan: 88 passningar, xT 0.84BarseghyanAlen Mustafić: 82 passningar, xT 0.78MustafićSamuel Kozlovský: 78 passningar, xT 0.16KozlovskýDaiki Matsuoka: 78 passningar, xT 0.16Matsuoka
    xT networks

    The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

    Podbrezová
    Jakub Luka: 244 passningar, xT 0.75LukaRene Rantusa Lampreht: 229 passningar, xT 0.62LamprehtPeter Kováčik: 159 passningar, xT 0.71KováčikSamuel Stefanik: 134 passningar, xT 0.63StefanikRene Paraj: 126 passningar, xT 0.37ParajLukáš Domaniský: 125 passningar, xT 0.25DomaniskýMartin Chrien: 96 passningar, xT 1.16ChrienVincent Chyla: 93 passningar, xT 0ChylaRadek Kejval: 87 passningar, xT 0.23KejvalOndrej Deml: 83 passningar, xT 1.34DemlJan Krivak: 76 passningar, xT 0.04Krivak
    Slovan Bratislava
    Svetozar Marković: 306 passningar, xT 0.28MarkovićKenan Bajric: 236 passningar, xT 0.54BajricPeter Pokorny: 225 passningar, xT 0.27PokornyCesar Blackman: 196 passningar, xT 0.22BlackmanSandro Cruz: 174 passningar, xT 0.61CruzKevin Wimmer: 118 passningar, xT 0.93WimmerDominik Takáč: 115 passningar, xT 0.04TakáčTigran Barseghyan: 88 passningar, xT 0.84BarseghyanAlen Mustafić: 82 passningar, xT 0.78MustafićSamuel Kozlovský: 78 passningar, xT 0.16KozlovskýDaiki Matsuoka: 78 passningar, xT 0.16Matsuoka

    The teams in numbers

    PerformancePodbrezováSlovan Bratislava
    Points1721
    xPoints17.618.1
    xG per match1.82
    xGA per match1.50.9
    xG within 8s of winning the ball0.280.28
    xGA within 8s of losing the ball0.360.24
    Playing stylePodbrezováSlovan Bratislava
    Build-up efficiency0.340.32
    Field tilt0.550.68
    xT per match1.41.7
    xTA per match1.20.75
    Won balls, offensive half2529
    Pressing intensity0.230.23
    Pressing efficiency0.30.36
    Pressing efficiency, offensive half0.260.36
    Entries into the box per match1718
    Entries into the box against1310
    Pass completion %0.740.81
    Pass completion % under pressure0.710.76
    Passes per match322486
    Passes against per match334226
    Switches of play per match21.231.8
    Long balls per match3139
    Set piecesPodbrezováSlovan Bratislava
    xG from free kicks0.060.04
    Corners per match5.85.4
    Corners against per match5.13.5
    xG per corner0.030.07
    xGA per corner against0.020.02
    First touch, offensive corners %0.570.43
    First touch, defensive corners %0.540.55
    OtherPodbrezováSlovan Bratislava
    Throw-in control0.710.78
    The goalkeepersLukáš Domaniský (Podbrezová)Aleksandar Popovic (Slovan Bratislava)
    Saves2010
    Save %61%77%
    xG prevented34%71%
    Claims0 (0%)0 (0%)

    Teams & more matches this round

    Podbrezová
    Fixtures, form & tips
    Slovan Bratislava
    Fixtures, form & tips

    Frequently asked questions

    Who wins Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava according to our model?

    The model gives Slovan Bratislava a 49% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Podbrezová 27%, draw 24%, Slovan Bratislava 49%.

    What is the most likely scoreline?

    The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 11% probability.

    Over or under 2.5 goals?

    The model rates over 2.5 goals at 60% and under at 40%.

    Will both teams score?

    The probability of both teams scoring is 61% according to the model.

    How many goals are expected in Podbrezová vs Slovan Bratislava?

    The model expects 1.28 goals (xG) for Podbrezová and 1.82 for Slovan Bratislava, 3.10 in total.

    What does the model say about double chance?

    Podbrezová or draw (1X) 51%, Slovan Bratislava or draw (X2) 73% and no draw (12) 76%.

    Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

    The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.

    More matches in the league

    KošiceKošice
    3–3
    TrenčínTrenčín
    1 53%X 23%2 23%
    The model missed the outcome
    SkalicaSkalica
    2–1
    RužomberokRužomberok
    1 37%X 32%2 31%
    The model called the outcome
    Slovan BratislavaSlovan Bratislava
    3–0
    PodbrezováPodbrezová
    1 64%X 20%2 16%
    The model called the outcome
    LeoVegas
    LeoVegas
    100 % upp till 600 kr på sport vid första insättningen

    Min. insättning 100 kr. Omsättning 6× inom 60 dagar, odds från 1,80

    Hämta bonus
    ComeOn
    ComeOn
    Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos ComeOn — se aktuella villkor på ComeOns sida.

    Se ComeOns villkor

    Hämta bonus
    Hajper
    Hajper
    Välkomsterbjudande på sport hos Hajper — se aktuella villkor på Hajpers sida.

    Se Hajpers villkor

    Hämta bonus

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.