Dukla Banska Bystrica vs DAC Prediction: Away win 67% (1 Nov 2026)

Slovak Super League1 November 2026 18:00 CET7°10 km/h

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Dukla Banska BystricaLow block & direct

DACPossession control

The model's lean: 2 · DAC (67%)

1 · Dukla Banska Bystrica 14%X 19%67% DAC · 2

14%

19%

67%

Prediction summary

BetBuilders AI model prediction for Dukla Banska Bystrica vs DAC (Slovak Super League, Sunday, 1 November 2026): Dukla Banska Bystrica win 14%, draw 19%, DAC win 67%. Expected goals (xG): Dukla Banska Bystrica 1.04, DAC 2.40. Most likely score: 1-2 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 67%, both teams to score 59%. Double chance: Dukla Banska Bystrica or draw 33%, DAC or draw 86%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.

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Analysis: Dukla Banska Bystrica – DAC

Marcus Johansson · 26 October 2026 · Analysis from the match model · How the predictions work

DAC have scored in 13 consecutive league matches, and that streak frames the problem for Dukla Banska Bystrica more clearly than any old rivalry line. The hosts are a low-defence, direct side; the visitors want possession control. That is a difficult stylistic collision when one team has the ball, territory and a far more reliable route to chances.

Dukla’s direct play can still land punches. Their expected goals are 1.04 for this match, while both teams to score sits at 59%, so a home goal is firmly in the picture. But DAC’s projected 2.40 expected goals says the larger share of the game should be played around the home box. The visitors’ patient control can pull apart a low block, while Dukla’s willingness to go direct offers the clearest route to an answer in transition rather than through sustained possession.

The season numbers make the tactical reading hard to resist. DAC have 29 points to Dukla’s 14, and the expected-points gap is also substantial: 20.3 versus 12.1. More importantly, DAC produce 2.2 xG per match and allow 1.1 xGA; Dukla create 1.0 and concede 2.3. That is not merely a table edge. It is the profile of a side regularly creating pressure against one regularly absorbing too much of it. DAC also arrive on 3 straight wins.

The head-to-head since 2023 is level at 3 matches, with Dukla 1W 1D 1L. It is a small sample and weighs less than current form and expected goals. The model gives Dukla 14%, the draw 19% and DAC 1904 67%, with 1-2 at 10% the most likely scoreline, ahead of 0-2 at 9% and 1-1 at 8%. The analysis points plainly to an away win, most likely 1-2, and an Over 2.5 goals lean at 67%; DAC 1904 to win is the sharpest side of the match.

Dukla Banska Bystrica

Form WLWWD

League ranking xG #11xGA #12xT #12xP/match #11Points #8

Key players

Róbert PolievkaFxG 0.32 · xT 0.11
Martin GjorgievskiFxG 0.08 · xT 0.06
Regő SzánthóCAMxG 0.26 · xT 0.07

DAC

Form WDWWW

League ranking xG #1xGA #2xT #2xP/match #1Points #1

Key players

Ammar RamadanLWxG 0.35 · xT 0.38
Giorgi GaguaCAMxG 0.23 · xT 0.23
Klemen NemanicCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.08

Match prediction: Dukla Banska Bystrica – DAC

Predicted score matrix

DAC →

Dukla Banska Bystrica →

0–03.5%

0–17.5%

0–29.3%

0–37.4%

0–4+7.8%

1–03.1%

1–18.2%

1–29.6%

1–37.7%

1–4+8.1%

2–01.7%

2–14.2%

2–25.0%

2–34.0%

2–4+4.2%

3–00.6%

3–11.4%

3–21.7%

3–31.4%

3–4+1.5%

4+–00.2%

4+–10.5%

4+–20.6%

4+–30.4%

4+–4+0.5%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-210%
2.0-29%
3.1-18%
4.1-38%
5.0-17%

Expected goals

1,04–2,40

Both teams to score

59%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,4

111%

219%

322%

419%

5+26%

Under 2,533%

@2.58

Over 2,567%

@1.45

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

DAC to win67%
Over 1.5 goals86%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

DAC to win67%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Matej Trusa to score30%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score59%
Over 2.5 goals67%
Matej Trusa to score30%
Dávid Richtárech to be booked22%

Odds & value

Bookmaker	1 · Dukla Banska Bystrica	X	2 · DAC
Betsafe	5.10	4.25	1.49
Nordicbet	5.10	4.25	1.49

Odds updated 26 Oct, 20:36

Odds movement

1-4 %

20 %15 %

5.30 → 5.10

X+2 %

24 %19 %

4.15 → 4.25

20 %

63 %58 %

1.49 → 1.49

Over 2,5-3 %

65 %60 %

1.50 → 1.45

Nordicbet · 3 recorded price levels · 26/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Statistics

Head-to-head

3 matches

Dukla Banska Bystrica 1Draw 1DAC 1

Goals: 1–2 (⌀ 1)

Head-to-head based on Slovak Super League data since 2023.

Key facts

DAC come into this round on 3 straight wins.
DAC have scored in 13 consecutive league matches.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Dukla Banska Bystrica

DAC

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Dukla Banska Bystrica (13–23)

DAC (36–7)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Dukla Banska Bystrica

DAC

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Dukla Banska Bystrica

DAC

The teams in numbers

Performance	Dukla Banska Bystrica	DAC
Points	14	29
xPoints	12.1	20.3
xG per match	1	2.2
xGA per match	2.3	1.1
xG within 8s of winning the ball	0.16	0.52
xGA within 8s of losing the ball	0.35	0.21

Playing style	Dukla Banska Bystrica	DAC
Build-up efficiency	0.3	0.32
Field tilt	0.35	0.52
xT per match	0.83	1.4
xTA per match	1.3	0.76
Won balls, offensive half	21	26
Pressing intensity	0.23	0.23
Pressing efficiency	0.27	0.31
Pressing efficiency, offensive half	0.18	0.26
Entries into the box per match	10	15
Entries into the box against	18	12
Pass completion %	0.7	0.8
Pass completion % under pressure	0.66	0.75
Passes per match	255	383
Passes against per match	429	294
Switches of play per match	16.6	41.2
Long balls per match	29	45

Set pieces	Dukla Banska Bystrica	DAC
xG from free kicks	0.06	0.02
Corners per match	4.8	4.8
Corners against per match	5.7	4.5
xG per corner	0.03	0.04
xGA per corner against	0.04	0.02
First touch, offensive corners %	0.45	0.53
First touch, defensive corners %	0.46	0.55

Other	Dukla Banska Bystrica	DAC
Throw-in control	0.62	0.76

The goalkeepers	Lukáš Hroššo (Dukla Banska Bystrica)	Leandro Filipe de Almeida Dornelles (DAC)
Saves	42	30
Save %	75%	81%
xG prevented	48%	53%
Claims	0 (0%)	0 (0%)

Teams & more matches this round

Dukla Banska Bystrica

Fixtures, form & tips

DAC

Fixtures, form & tips

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Dukla Banska Bystrica vs DAC according to our model?

The model gives DAC a 67% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Dukla Banska Bystrica 14%, draw 19%, DAC 67%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-2 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 67% and under at 33%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 59% according to the model.

How many goals are expected in Dukla Banska Bystrica vs DAC?

The model expects 1.04 goals (xG) for Dukla Banska Bystrica and 2.40 for DAC, 3.44 in total.

What does the model say about double chance?

Dukla Banska Bystrica or draw (1X) 33%, DAC or draw (X2) 86% and no draw (12) 81%.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.