01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Double chance Ružomberok or draw (1X)70%
- Under 3.5 goals76%
Slovak Super LeagueŠtadión pod Čebraťom, Ružomberok5°11 km/h
Läs på svenska
RužomberokLow block & directvs
SkalicaLow block & directThe model's lean: 1 · Ružomberok (45%)Best value by the model: Under 2,5 @ 2.08 (+13 %)
Ružomberok vs Skalica · Slovak Super League
1 · Ružomberok 45%X 30%25% Skalica · 2
45%
30%
25%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Ružomberok vs Skalica (Slovak Super League, Sunday, 1 November 2026): Ružomberok win 45%, draw 30%, Skalica win 25%. Expected goals (xG): Ružomberok 1.39, Skalica 1.12. Most likely score: 1-1 (13%). Over 2.5 goals 46%, both teams to score 51%. Double chance: Ružomberok or draw 75%, Skalica or draw 55%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
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Analysis: Ružomberok – Skalica
Sofia Andersson · · The model's read on the match · How the predictions work
Skalica own this fixture on the historical record since 2023: six wins, two draws and one defeat across nine meetings against Ružomberok. That 6–1 win edge is hard to ignore, but it is not season form, and it clashes with the underlying numbers for this match. The visitors have taken 10 points to the hosts’ 9, yet the expected-points gap runs sharply the other way, 17.3 to 12.1.
That is where the price should start to move. Ružomberok generate 1.6 xG per match against Skalica’s 0.99, while both sides concede 1.9 xGA per match. The hosts have been the more productive team beneath the results, even if the table gives the visitors a narrow edge. The model makes it 45% home win, 30% draw and 25% away win. That is a Ružomberok lean, not a strong home-bank position.
Both teams are profiled as low defence & direct, so this is unlikely to become a game of long, controlled attacking sequences. The expected-goals line sits at 1.39 for the hosts and 1.12 for the visitors: enough for both teams to score at 51%, but not enough to justify a bullish total-goals stance. Over 2.5 lands at just 46%, leaving the under side at 54%. The most likely single score is 1-1 at 13%, ahead of 1-0 at 11% and 2-1 at 9%.
The cleanest read is therefore a tight draw with Ružomberok marginally better than their points total suggests: 1-1, with under 2.5 goals the lean. Betsafe offer under 2.5 at 2.0, and Nordicbet have the same 2.0; the model’s 54% rating creates an assessed 8% edge at both firms. Under 1.5 at 3.8 with Betsafe has a 28% model probability and a 7% edge, but it asks for a far narrower game. Under 2.5 at 2.0 is the sharper angle.
RužomberokForm WLDWL
League ranking xG #7xGA #9xT #11xP/match #6Points #11
Key players
- Daniel KostlCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.13
- Alexander SeleckyLWBxG 0.13 · xT 0.10
- Martin BačíkFxG 0.18 · xT 0.22
SkalicaForm LLDLD
League ranking xG #12xGA #11xT #10xP/match #12Points #9
Key players
- Erik DanielRWxG 0.14 · xT 0.18
- Martin CernekCBxG 0.05 · xT 0.11
- Damian BarisCMxG 0.04 · xT 0.05
Match prediction: Ružomberok – Skalica
Predicted score matrix
Skalica →
Ružomberok →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–08.5%
0–18.8%
0–25.1%
0–31.9%
0–4+0.7%
1
1–010.9%
1–113.0%
1–27.1%
1–32.7%
1–4+1.0%
2
2–07.8%
2–18.8%
2–24.9%
2–31.8%
2–4+0.7%
3
3–03.6%
3–14.1%
3–22.3%
3–30.9%
3–4+0.3%
4+
4+–01.7%
4+–11.9%
4+–21.1%
4+–30.4%
4+–4+0.1%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-113%
- 2.1-011%
- 3.2-19%
- 4.0-19%
- 5.0-08%
Expected goals
1,39–1,12
Both teams to score
51%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 2,508%
120%
226%
321%
413%
5+11%
Under 2,554%
@2.08EV+8%
Over 2,546%
@1.72
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Double chance Ružomberok or draw (1X)70%
- Under 2.5 goals54%
- Matěj Koubek to score21%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score51%
- Over 2.5 goals46%
- Matěj Koubek to score21%
- Martin Černek to be booked19%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- Under 2.554% probability@2.08PinnacleEV+13%reference odds
- X · Draw30% probability@3.64PinnacleEV+10%reference odds
- Under 2.554% probability@2.00BetsafeEV+8%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Ružomberok | X | 2 · Skalica |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | 2.02 | EV+ 3% 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Nordicbet | 2.02 | EV+ 3% 3.40 | 3.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.95 | EV+ 10% 3.64 | 3.52 |
Odds updated 26 Oct, 20:36
Odds movement
1+3 %
51 %46 %
1.89 → 1.95
X-3 %
28 %23 %
3.75 → 3.64
2+1 %
29 %24 %
3.47 → 3.52
Pinnacle · 2 recorded price levels · 25/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
9 matchesRužomberok 1Draw 2Skalica 6
Goals: 6–12 (⌀ 2)
Head-to-head based on Slovak Super League data since 2023.
Key facts
- Skalica dominate this fixture historically: 6 wins to 1 in 9 meetings.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Ružomberok
Skalica
Ružomberok (11–25)
Skalica (13–23)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Ružomberok
Skalica
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Ružomberok
Skalica
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Ružomberok | Skalica |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 9 | 10 |
| xPoints | 17.3 | 12.1 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 0.99 |
| xGA per match | 1.9 | 1.9 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.36 | 0.21 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.21 | 0.2 |
| Playing style | Ružomberok | Skalica |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| Field tilt | 0.39 | 0.43 |
| xT per match | 0.85 | 0.86 |
| xTA per match | 1.3 | 1.4 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 26 | 24 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.26 | 0.3 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.21 | 0.25 |
| Entries into the box per match | 12 | 12 |
| Entries into the box against | 16 | 15 |
| Pass completion % | 0.66 | 0.67 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.61 | 0.64 |
| Passes per match | 227 | 256 |
| Passes against per match | 400 | 364 |
| Switches of play per match | 17.9 | 14.8 |
| Long balls per match | 29 | 26 |
| Set pieces | Ružomberok | Skalica |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.07 | 0.02 |
| Corners per match | 4.9 | 5 |
| Corners against per match | 4.3 | 5.4 |
| xG per corner | 0.04 | 0.02 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.04 | 0.04 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.32 | 0.5 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.47 | 0.51 |
| Other | Ružomberok | Skalica |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.74 | 0.71 |
| The goalkeepers | Ivan Krajčírik (Ružomberok) | Richard Ludha (Skalica) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 28 | 18 |
| Save % | 55% | 60% |
| xG prevented | 29% | 53% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Ružomberok vs Skalica according to our model?
The model gives Ružomberok a 45% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Ružomberok 45%, draw 30%, Skalica 25%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 46% and under at 54%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 51% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Ružomberok vs Skalica?
The model expects 1.39 goals (xG) for Ružomberok and 1.12 for Skalica, 2.51 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Ružomberok or draw (1X) 75%, Skalica or draw (X2) 55% and no draw (12) 70%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.