01 · 2 legs
Safe
- Spartak Trnava to win62%
- Over 1.5 goals81%
Slovak Super LeagueŠtadión Antona Malatinského, Trnava7°19 km/h
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Spartak TrnavaPossession controlvs
KomárnoPossession controlThe model's lean: 1 · Spartak Trnava (62%)
Spartak Trnava vs Komárno · Slovak Super League
1 · Spartak Trnava 62%X 21%17% Komárno · 2
62%
21%
17%
Prediction summary
BetBuilders AI model prediction for Spartak Trnava vs Komárno (Slovak Super League, Saturday, 31 October 2026): Spartak Trnava win 62%, draw 21%, Komárno win 17%. Expected goals (xG): Spartak Trnava 2.00, Komárno 1.02. Most likely score: 1-1 (10%). Over 2.5 goals 58%, both teams to score 56%. Double chance: Spartak Trnava or draw 83%, Komárno or draw 38%. Prediction updated Friday, 23 October 2026.
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Analysis: Spartak Trnava – Komárno
Erik Lindberg · · Written from the model's numbers · How the predictions work
Spartak Trnava at 62% is the number that matters. Komárno sit at 17%, and the hosts own the points edge, 22 to 7, plus a 1.6 to 1.2 xG-per-match advantage. Both teams favour possession control, so this need not be pretty. Trnava’s 2.00 expected goals against 1.02 point to territorial control and a 2-0 home win as the most likely practical call.
The over 2.5 lean is 58%, with both teams to score at 56%, but I would not chase the noise around those markets. The visitors’ 1.1 xGA matches the hosts’ defensive figure, and the 1-1, 2-1 and 2-0 scorelines each carry 10%. The data leans over 2.5, narrowly, yet Trnava winning without drama fits the matchup better than an open contest.
Trnava have won all five head-to-head meetings since 2023, with 3.6 goals per meeting. That is a small sample and weighs less than form and expected goals. The stable angle is home win: Betsafe offer 1.62 and Nordicbet also offer 1.62, both assessed as EV+ by the 62% model rating with a 1% edge.
Spartak TrnavaForm WDWLD
League ranking xG #6xGA #3xT #8xP/match #4Points #2
Key players
- Marek UjlakyCBxG 0.04 · xT 0.08
- Erik SaboCBxG 0.13 · xT 0.12
- Martin MikovicLWBxG 0.05 · xT 0.11
KomárnoForm DLDLD
League ranking xG #9xGA #4xT #6xP/match #8Points #12
Key players
- Ján BernátLWxG 0.19 · xT 0.14
- Dominik SpiriakCBxG 0.03 · xT 0.08
- Robert PillarCBxG 0.06 · xT 0.11
Match prediction: Spartak Trnava – Komárno
Predicted score matrix
Komárno →
Spartak Trnava →
0
1
2
3
4+
0
0–05.2%
0–14.7%
0–22.5%
0–30.9%
0–4+0.3%
1
1–09.5%
1–110.3%
1–25.1%
1–31.7%
1–4+0.5%
2
2–09.8%
2–110.0%
2–25.1%
2–31.7%
2–4+0.5%
3
3–06.5%
3–16.6%
3–23.4%
3–31.1%
3–4+0.4%
4+
4+–05.1%
4+–15.2%
4+–22.7%
4+–30.9%
4+–4+0.3%
Most likely scorelines
- 1.1-110%
- 2.2-110%
- 3.2-010%
- 4.1-09%
- 5.3-17%
Expected goals
2,00–1,02
Both teams to score
56%
Over/under goals
Expected goals: 3,00
114%
223%
322%
417%
5+19%
Under 2,542%
@2.07
Over 2,558%
@1.72
Ready-made bet suggestions
More combos & build your own →02 · 3 legs
Balanced
- Spartak Trnava to win62%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Hillary Chukwah Gong to score38%
03 · 4 legs
Bold
- Both teams to score56%
- Over 2.5 goals58%
- Hillary Chukwah Gong to score38%
- Kristóf Domonkos to be booked26%
Odds & value
The model's value spots
Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).
- 1 · Spartak Trnava62% probability@1.64PinnacleEV+2%reference odds
- 1 · Spartak Trnava62% probability@1.62BetsafeEV+1%reference odds
- 1 · Spartak Trnava62% probability@1.62NordicbetEV+1%reference odds
| Bookmaker | 1 · Spartak Trnava | X | 2 · Komárno |
|---|---|---|---|
| Betsafe | EV+ 1% 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| Nordicbet | EV+ 1% 1.62 | 3.70 | 4.60 |
| Pinnacle | EV+ 2% 1.64 | 3.90 | 4.74 |
Odds updated 26 Oct, 15:36
Odds movement
1+1 %
59 %54 %
1.63 → 1.64
X+1 %
26 %21 %
3.86 → 3.90
2+2 %
22 %17 %
4.66 → 4.74
Over 2,5+1 %
57 %52 %
1.71 → 1.72
Pinnacle · 2 recorded price levels · 25/10/2026 → 26/10/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points
Statistics
Head-to-head
5 matchesSpartak Trnava 5Draw 0Komárno 0
Goals: 13–5 (⌀ 3,6)
Head-to-head based on Slovak Super League data since 2023.
Key facts
- Spartak Trnava dominate this fixture historically: 5 wins to 0 in 5 meetings.
- A high-scoring fixture: 3.6 goals per meeting on average.
Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).
Spartak Trnava
Komárno
Spartak Trnava (25–15)
Komárno (9–16)
Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.
Spartak Trnava
Komárno
The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.
Spartak Trnava
Komárno
The teams in numbers
| Performance | Spartak Trnava | Komárno |
|---|---|---|
| Points | 22 | 7 |
| xPoints | 18.4 | 15.8 |
| xG per match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| xGA per match | 1.1 | 1.1 |
| xG within 8s of winning the ball | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| xGA within 8s of losing the ball | 0.28 | 0.25 |
| Playing style | Spartak Trnava | Komárno |
|---|---|---|
| Build-up efficiency | 0.32 | 0.34 |
| Field tilt | 0.55 | 0.52 |
| xT per match | 1 | 1.1 |
| xTA per match | 0.88 | 0.91 |
| Won balls, offensive half | 23 | 27 |
| Pressing intensity | 0.23 | 0.22 |
| Pressing efficiency | 0.3 | 0.32 |
| Pressing efficiency, offensive half | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| Entries into the box per match | 15 | 14 |
| Entries into the box against | 11 | 13 |
| Pass completion % | 0.77 | 0.75 |
| Pass completion % under pressure | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| Passes per match | 371 | 361 |
| Passes against per match | 294 | 311 |
| Switches of play per match | 25.3 | 22.5 |
| Long balls per match | 35 | 36 |
| Set pieces | Spartak Trnava | Komárno |
|---|---|---|
| xG from free kicks | 0.04 | 0.07 |
| Corners per match | 5.1 | 5.8 |
| Corners against per match | 3.5 | 5.7 |
| xG per corner | 0.03 | 0.03 |
| xGA per corner against | 0.02 | 0.03 |
| First touch, offensive corners % | 0.44 | 0.51 |
| First touch, defensive corners % | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| Other | Spartak Trnava | Komárno |
|---|---|---|
| Throw-in control | 0.74 | 0.73 |
| The goalkeepers | Martin Vantruba (Spartak Trnava) | Branislav Pindroch (Komárno) |
|---|---|---|
| Saves | 41 | 32 |
| Save % | 73% | 73% |
| xG prevented | 54% | 64% |
| Claims | 0 (0%) | 0 (0%) |
Teams & more matches this round
Frequently asked questions
Who wins Spartak Trnava vs Komárno according to our model?
The model gives Spartak Trnava a 62% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Spartak Trnava 62%, draw 21%, Komárno 17%.
What is the most likely scoreline?
The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.
Over or under 2.5 goals?
The model rates over 2.5 goals at 58% and under at 42%.
Will both teams score?
The probability of both teams scoring is 56% according to the model.
How many goals are expected in Spartak Trnava vs Komárno?
The model expects 2.00 goals (xG) for Spartak Trnava and 1.02 for Komárno, 3.02 in total.
What does the model say about double chance?
Spartak Trnava or draw (1X) 83%, Komárno or draw (X2) 38% and no draw (12) 79%.
Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?
The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.
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Hämta bonusPredictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.