Ajax vs Vojvodina: Prediction & Odds (30 Jul 2026)

Conference League30 July 202625°16 km/h

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Ajax

4–1

The model's lean: 1 · Ajax (59%)

Best value by the model: 2 · Vojvodina @ 11.73 (+129 %)

Vojvodina

1 · Ajax 59%X 22%20% Vojvodina · 2

59%

22%

20%

Final score

4 – 1

The model called the outcome

Predicted probabilities: Ajax 59% · Draw 22% · Vojvodina 20%

Match prediction: Ajax – Vojvodina

Predicted score matrix

Vojvodina →

Ajax →

0–04.9%

0–14.9%

0–22.9%

0–31.1%

0–4+0.4%

1–08.8%

1–110.4%

1–25.6%

1–32.1%

1–4+0.7%

2–08.9%

2–19.9%

2–25.5%

2–32.0%

2–4+0.7%

3–05.8%

3–16.5%

3–23.6%

3–31.3%

3–4+0.5%

4+–04.5%

4+–15.0%

4+–22.7%

4+–31.0%

4+–4+0.4%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-110%
2.2-110%
3.2-09%
4.1-09%
5.3-16%

Expected goals

1,96–1,11

Both teams to score

58%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 3,1

114%

222%

322%

417%

5+20%

Under 2,541%

–

Over 2,559%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

More combos & build your own →

01 · 2 legs

Safe

Ajax to win59%
Over 1.5 goals81%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Ajax to win59%
Over 2.5 goals59%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score58%
Over 2.5 goals59%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Vojvodina20% probability@11.73PinnacleEV+129%
X · Draw22% probability@6.58PinnacleEV+41%
Under 3.563% probability@1.93PinnacleEV+22%

Bookmaker	1 · Ajax	X	2 · Vojvodina
Pinnacle	1.16	EV+ 41% 6.58	EV+ 129% 11.73

Odds updated 30 Jul, 04:08

Odds movement

1-3 %

79 %74 %

1.19 → 1.16

X+5 %

17 %12 %

6.26 → 6.58

2+13 %

11 %6 %

10.41 → 11.73

Pinnacle · 12 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 30/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins Ajax vs Vojvodina according to our model?

The model gives Ajax a 59% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: Ajax 59%, draw 22%, Vojvodina 20%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 10% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 59% and under at 41%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 58% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.