CSKA 1948 vs Spartak Trnava: Prediction & Odds (28 Jul 2026)

Conference League28 July 202624°10 km/h

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CSKA 1948

The model's lean: 1 · CSKA 1948 (36%)

Best value by the model: 2 · Spartak Trnava @ 4.60 (+56 %)

Spartak Trnava

1 · CSKA 1948 36%X 30%34% Spartak Trnava · 2

36%

30%

34%

Match prediction: CSKA 1948 – Spartak Trnava

Predicted score matrix

Spartak Trnava →

CSKA 1948 →

0–09.3%

0–19.1%

0–25.0%

0–31.8%

0–4+0.6%

1–011.8%

1–113.2%

1–26.8%

1–32.4%

1–4+0.8%

2–08.2%

2–18.7%

2–24.6%

2–31.6%

2–4+0.5%

3–03.7%

3–13.9%

3–22.1%

3–30.7%

3–4+0.2%

4+–01.7%

4+–11.8%

4+–20.9%

4+–30.3%

4+–4+0.1%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-113%
2.1-012%
3.0-09%
4.0-19%
5.2-19%

Expected goals

1,35–1,06

Both teams to score

49%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,4

09%

121%

226%

321%

413%

5+10%

Under 2,557%

@1.81EV+3%

Over 2,543%

@2.18

Ready-made bet suggestions

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01 · 2 legs

Safe

Double chance CSKA 1948 or draw (1X)71%
Under 3.5 goals78%

02 · 2 legs

Balanced

Double chance CSKA 1948 or draw (1X)71%
Under 2.5 goals57%

03 · 2 legs

Bold

Both teams to score49%
Over 2.5 goals43%

Odds & value

The model's value spots

Bets where the model's probability beats what the odds imply (EV+).

2 · Spartak Trnava34% probability@4.60Betfair ExchangeEV+56%
X · Draw30% probability@3.60Betfair ExchangeEV+10%
Under 2.557% probability@1.81Betfair ExchangeEV+3%

Bookmaker	1 · CSKA 1948	X	2 · Spartak Trnava
Betfair Exchange	1.91	EV+ 10% 3.60	EV+ 56% 4.60

Odds updated 28 Jul, 10:08

Odds movement

1-1 %

53 %48 %

1.93 → 1.91

X+1 %

30 %25 %

3.55 → 3.60

2+10 %

25 %20 %

4.20 → 4.60

Over 2,5+5 %

49 %44 %

2.08 → 2.18

Betfair Exchange · 11 recorded price levels · 27/07/2026 → 28/07/2026 · fixed scale 5 percentage points

Frequently asked questions

Who wins CSKA 1948 vs Spartak Trnava according to our model?

The model gives CSKA 1948 a 36% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: CSKA 1948 36%, draw 30%, Spartak Trnava 34%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 13% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 43% and under at 57%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 49% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.