Conference League: Predictions, Odds & Tips

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    The Conference League is Europe's broadest competition — champions from San Marino meet mid-table sides from the big five leagues, and for many of the clubs there is barely any odds history to lean on. That information gap is exactly what the model is built for: the same data-driven team description for everyone, however small the league.

    Every qualifier and group game gets 1X2 probabilities, a score matrix and goal lines, positive expected value (EV+) is flagged against live odds — and every prediction is graded openly, hit or miss.

    Upcoming matches

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    League table2026/27

    PosTeamPSW–D–LGF–GAxPxGxGAxGDFTStyle
    1Ajax1665–1–022–1012,422,85,2+17,684 %Possession & high press
    2Nordsjælland1565–0–117–310,915,68,3+7,371 %Possession control
    3Rapid Wien1464–2–019–811,615,24,7+10,582 %Possession & high press
    4FC København1464–2–017–610,311,58,3+3,245 %Possession control
    5Lugano1464–2–013–59,513,67,9+5,772 %Possession & high press
    6Midtjylland1244–0–011–37,78,83,0+5,860 %Possession control
    7Panathinaikos1153–2–09–67,57,25,6+1,662 %Possession control
    8Austria Wien1063–1–28–68,67,69,6−2,035 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    9Sion862–2–214–139,211,811,0+0,851 %Balanced & physical
    10Twente742–1–113–58,09,02,6+6,476 %Possession & high press
    11DAC742–1–17–95,04,87,0−2,241 %Possession & high press
    12Freiburg622–0–07–25,37,10,4+6,784 %Possession & high press
    13St. Gallen642–0–210–66,110,46,4+4,060 %Possession control
    14Monaco622–0–07–33,73,72,1+1,664 %Balanced & physical
    15Qarabağ642–0–24–53,83,16,1−3,040 %Possession & high press
    16Győri ETO541–2–18–56,26,35,8+0,545 %Low block & direct
    17Inter Turku541–2–14–56,55,76,0−0,327 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    18Brighton & Hove Albion421–1–04–03,34,61,2+3,495 %Possession & high press
    19Braga421–1–02–03,23,51,4+2,175 %Possession & high press
    20Riga FC421–1–02–13,03,32,2+1,166 %Possession control
    21Atalanta421–1–01–03,12,21,3+0,963 %Possession & high press
    22Debrecen441–1–22–84,35,18,3−3,250 %Possession control
    23Pafos311–0–04–22,71,40,3+1,153 %Balanced & physical
    24Getafe321–0–14–32,21,82,8−1,063 %Possession & high press
    25Gent311–0–03–20,91,11,10,040 %Balanced & physical
    26Hajduk Split311–0–03–21,21,21,8−0,634 %Low block & direct
    27Beitar Jerusalem321–0–13–32,43,72,2+1,577 %Possession & high press
    28Jablonec321–0–11–11,71,02,4−1,451 %Balanced & physical
    29Rangers321–0–11–13,72,41,0+1,449 %Balanced & physical
    30Partizan Belgrade321–0–13–43,32,81,8+1,037 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    31Dynamo Kyiv321–0–11–23,32,42,2+0,237 %Low block & direct
    32GAIS321–0–11–62,32,23,4−1,247 %Possession control
    33Hearts220–2–04–42,51,73,2−1,523 %Low block & direct
    34Brann110–1–01–10,91,01,8−0,861 %Balanced & physical
    35PAOK110–1–01–11,81,81,0+0,839 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    36Polissya Zhytomyr120–1–14–52,94,72,7+2,077 %Possession & high press
    37Paks120–1–13–42,21,63,6−2,032 %Low block & direct
    38Noah120–1–13–41,92,74,3−1,652 %Possession control
    39Maccabi Tel Aviv120–1–12–32,83,82,6+1,267 %Possession control
    40CSKA 1948 Sofia120–1–12–32,51,72,4−0,723 %Low block & direct
    41Pyunik120–1–10–12,12,53,6−1,144 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    42Hapoel Tel Aviv120–1–10–12,21,32,2−0,937 %Low block & direct
    43Shelbourne120–1–13–51,71,19,1−8,010 %Low block & direct
    44NSI120–1–12–42,12,05,7−3,714 %Low block & direct
    45İstanbul Başakşehir120–1–11–31,53,23,6−0,479 %Possession & high press
    46Atert Bissen120–1–13–71,92,54,1−1,645 %Balanced & physical
    47BATE120–1–11–51,60,64,2−3,613 %Low block & direct
    48Tromsø120–1–10–42,11,24,6−3,45 %Low block & direct
    49Hibernian010–0–12–31,81,11,10,060 %Balanced & physical
    50Raków Częstochowa010–0–12–31,61,81,2+0,666 %Possession control
    51Hradec Králové010–0–11–21,41,91,3+0,674 %Possession & high press
    52Dinamo City010–0–12–40,20,31,4−1,147 %Balanced & physical
    53Bohemians020–0–22–51,71,54,1−2,645 %Low block & direct
    54Górnik Zabrze020–0–23–71,92,13,7−1,636 %Balanced & physical
    55Liepaja020–0–21–52,22,34,0−1,740 %Possession & high press
    56FK Velez Mostar020–0–20–41,91,53,1−1,638 %Low block & direct
    57Motherwell020–0–22–70,50,47,1−6,716 %Low block & direct
    58Rijeka020–0–21–61,61,54,6−3,135 %Low block & direct
    59Dukagjini020–0–21–62,32,25,4−3,210 %Low block & direct
    60Paide020–0–21–61,21,66,7−5,111 %Low block & direct
    61Santa Coloma020–0–23–91,41,45,7−4,320 %Counter-attacks & crosses
    62Vojvodina020–0–22–81,30,96,0−5,112 %Low block & direct
    63Sheriff Tiraspol020–0–22–82,83,05,7−2,734 %Low block & direct
    64Valur020–0–20–70,51,28,8−7,69 %Low block & direct

    Latest articles

    All articles
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    2026-08-27 · 2 min

    This week's pool betting 27/8: locks and upsets

    Stryktipset, Europatipset, Big 9 and the PoolX games offer an eventful week where in-depth statistics – from xG to pressing play and field tilt – highlight interesting matches such as Lillestrøm-Egnatia, Omonia-Sint-Truiden and AGF-Benfica. Among the week's clearest favorites is Bayern München against Stuttgart, where the home team is expected to dominate heavily according to the xG figures.

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    This week's pool game 20/8: locks and upsets

    2026-08-20 · 3 min

    This week's pool game 20/8: locks and upsets

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    Played matches

    Prediction track record
    RijekaRijeka
    1–4
    MidtjyllandMidtjylland
    1 39%X 29%2 32%
    The model missed the outcome
    Austria WienAustria Wien
    0–0
    BragaBraga
    1 21%X 22%2 57%
    The model missed the outcome
    Hapoel Tel AvivHapoel Tel Aviv
    0–1
    AtalantaAtalanta
    1 22%X 25%2 53%
    The model called the outcome
    HibernianHibernian
    2–3
    GentGent
    1 37%X 30%2 33%
    The model missed the outcome
    Hradec KrálovéHradec Králové
    1–1(1-2 AET)
    PanathinaikosPanathinaikos
    1 26%X 27%2 46%
    The model missed the outcome
    Maccabi Tel AvivMaccabi Tel Aviv
    1–1
    LuganoLugano
    1 32%X 24%2 44%
    The model missed the outcome
    BrannBrann
    3–2
    PAOKPAOK
    1 43%X 26%2 31%
    The model called the outcome
    KuPSKuPS
    1–0
    Shamrock RoversShamrock Rovers
    1 49%X 26%2 25%
    The model called the outcome
    FC KøbenhavnFC København
    4–1
    Inter TurkuInter Turku
    1 64%X 20%2 16%
    The model called the outcome
    Raków CzęstochowaRaków Częstochowa
    2–2(2-3 AET)
    Hajduk SplitHajduk Split
    1 34%X 26%2 40%
    The model missed the outcome
    AjaxAjax
    5–3
    SionSion
    1 67%X 19%2 15%
    The model called the outcome
    QarabağQarabağ
    1–2(1-4 AET)
    TwenteTwente
    1 22%X 19%2 59%
    The model called the outcome

    How the predictions work

    Every prediction comes from PlaymakerAI's match model — the same data platform professional clubs use for scouting and match analysis. The model is trained on event data from hundreds of thousands of matches and weighs over 200 factors per team: strength ratings, current form, playing style, squad player profiles, fixture congestion, travel and even matchday weather.

    For each fixture the model produces a full goal distribution. From it we derive the 1X2 probabilities, the score matrix, expected goals, over/under lines and both-teams-to-score. Predictions are frozen before kickoff and never changed afterwards — once a match finishes we grade it openly, hit or miss.

    Odds are collected continuously from several bookmakers. When the model's probability for an outcome exceeds what the odds imply, we flag it as value (EV+). That is the model's assessment, not a guarantee: even positive-EV bets lose often. Gamble responsibly.

    Conference League FAQ

    Where do I find Conference League predictions?

    Right here: every match in the Conference League has its own analysis with 1X2 probabilities, most likely scoreline, over/under and value against current odds. Pick a match from the upcoming list — predictions are refreshed before every round and graded openly afterwards.

    How are the Conference League predictions made?

    Each match is replayed thousands of times in the model using hundreds of metrics per team — expected goals, pressing, expected threat, field tilt, form and squad. The output is a probability for every scoreline, which is then compared with bookmaker odds to find value.

    What is the xP table?

    xP means expected points: how many points each team should have taken given the quality of chances created and conceded. The gap between xP and the real table shows which the Conference League teams are over- and underrated right now.

    Which teams play in Conference League 2026/27?

    Conference League 2026/27 has 24 teams: Ajax, Nordsjælland, Rapid Wien, FC København, Lugano, Midtjylland, Panathinaikos, Austria Wien, Sion, Twente, DAC, Freiburg, St. Gallen, Monaco, Qarabağ, Győri ETO, Inter Turku, Brighton & Hove Albion, Braga, Riga FC, Atalanta, Debrecen, Pafos, Getafe.

    Predictions come from PlaymakerAI's match model and reflect the model's assessment — not betting advice. Gamble responsibly.