CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos: Prediction & Odds (11 Aug 2026)

Conference League11 August 202624°11 km/h

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CSKA 1948

The model's lean: 2 · Panathinaikos (51%)

PanathinaikosPossession control

1 · CSKA 1948 21%X 28%51% Panathinaikos · 2

21%

28%

51%

Analysis: CSKA 1948 – Panathinaikos

Sofia Andersson · 4 August 2026 · How the predictions work

Fifty-one percent — that's the probability the model gives to a Panathinaikos Athens victory over CSKA 1948 Sofia in this Conference League clash. This edge is not insignificant, especially considering the Greek side's potent offensive run, having found the net in 14 consecutive league matches. The model, therefore, leans towards Panathinaikos Athens, and so should any value-seeking punter.

Yet, a closer look at the expected goals — 1.53 for Panathinaikos Athens compared to 1.11 for CSKA 1948 Sofia — hints at a potentially tighter affair than the outright odds suggest. The most likely scoreline, 1-1, has a 12% probability, marginally higher than the 11% for a 0-1 Panathinaikos win. This suggests a draw isn't out of the question, though the inclination is towards a narrow away victory.

CSKA 1948 Sofia's challenge lies in breaching a defense against a team that’s in goal-scoring form. The expected goals tally implies a goal from the hosts is not beyond the realm of possibility, aligning with the 53% chance that both teams will score. Weather conditions are not mentioned, so we assume a typical autumn evening without adverse effects, preserving the model's accuracy.

While the over 2.5 goals market sits tantalizingly at 49%, there's no clear directive here. The safer play might be the lean towards a Panathinaikos Athens win, backed by their consistent scoring streak. So, where's the value? Paddy Power offers odds at 2.0 for a Panathinaikos Athens win, which represents a potential edge for the sharp-eyed gambler. With the wind at their backs, figuratively if not literally, the Athenian side looks poised to continue their rich vein of scoring form, edging out a 1-2 victory.

CSKA 1948

Form LL

Panathinaikos

Form WWLWD

League ranking xG #10xGA #5xT #6xP/match #11Points #10

Key players

Giorgos KyriakopoulosLBxG 0.08 · xT 0.16
Andrews TettehFxG 0.39 · xT 0.22
Santino Andino ValenciaLWxG 0.33 · xT 0.09

Match prediction: CSKA 1948 – Panathinaikos

Predicted score matrix

Panathinaikos →

CSKA 1948 →

0–07.5%

0–110.6%

0–28.3%

0–34.2%

0–4+2.3%

1–07.6%

1–112.5%

1–29.3%

1–34.7%

1–4+2.5%

2–04.4%

2–16.7%

2–25.2%

2–32.6%

2–4+1.4%

3–01.6%

3–12.5%

3–21.9%

3–31.0%

3–4+0.5%

4+–00.6%

4+–10.9%

4+–20.7%

4+–30.3%

4+–4+0.2%

Probability per final score. Rows = home goals, columns = away goals.

Most likely scorelines

1.1-112%
2.0-111%
3.1-29%
4.0-28%
5.1-08%

Expected goals

1,11–1,53

Both teams to score

53%

Over/under goals

Expected goals: 2,6

07%

118%

225%

322%

414%

5+13%

Under 2,551%

–

Over 2,549%

–

Ready-made bet suggestions

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01 · 2 legs

Safe

Panathinaikos to win51%
Under 3.5 goals73%

02 · 3 legs

Balanced

Panathinaikos to win51%
Under 2.5 goals51%
Andrews Tetteh to score26%

03 · 4 legs

Bold

Both teams to score53%
Over 2.5 goals49%
Andrews Tetteh to score26%
Étienne Amara Camara to be booked23%

Odds & value

No odds available yet.

Statistics

Key facts

Panathinaikos Athens have scored in 14 consecutive league matches.

xG & xGA per match — 3-game rolling average

Solid line = created (xG), dashed = conceded (xGA).

Panathinaikos

When goals are scored and conceded — 2026

Panathinaikos (4–3)

Pass networks

Last 5 matches. Circle size = pass volume, line width = combinations between players. Attacking left to right.

Panathinaikos

xT networks

The same network weighted by offensive threat (xT): circle size = threat created by the player, line width = threat of the combinations. Last 5 matches, attacking left to right.

Panathinaikos

The goalkeepers	CSKA 1948	Stefan de Vrij (Panathinaikos)
Saves	–	3
Save %	–	100%
xG prevented	–	100%
Claims	–	0 (0%)

Frequently asked questions

Who wins CSKA 1948 vs Panathinaikos according to our model?

The model gives Panathinaikos a 51% win probability. Full 1X2 picture: CSKA 1948 21%, draw 28%, Panathinaikos 51%.

What is the most likely scoreline?

The model's most likely final score is 1-1 at 12% probability.

Over or under 2.5 goals?

The model rates over 2.5 goals at 49% and under at 51%.

Will both teams score?

The probability of both teams scoring is 53% according to the model.

Why are some legs locked in the bet builder?

The same rules as the bookmakers’ builders: legs that contradict or already follow from your slip cannot be combined — for example correct score 2–1 with under 2.5 goals. The difference is that we don’t look the rules up in a table; we compute them straight from the score matrix.